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Penguins at Flyers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸6
FinalTV SN-PIT, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyson Foerster's goal at 11:55 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — PIT 3.0, PHI 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 24, PHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 3.0 goals below expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bobby Brink (1 G, 3 A), 2. Noah Cates (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tyson Foerster (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    B. Brink1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    N. Cates2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Foerster1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0611008124
PHIPHI21531419638

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    R. Ristolainen(4)
    E. Zamula (10), M. Michkov (23)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:56
  2. PHI
    N. Cates(11)
    B. Brink (17), J. Pelletier (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:19

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Tomasino(8)
    M. Bunting (15), K. Letang (14)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:09
  2. PHI
    T. Foerster(16)
    J. Drysdale (11), B. Brink (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:55
  3. PHI
    N. Cates(12)
    B. Brink (19), T. Foerster (11)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    18:55
  4. PHI
    B. Brink(8)
    N. Cates (13), T. Foerster (12)
    deflectedxG 0.36win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-5
    19:05

3rd period

  1. PHI
    O. Tippett(17)
    S. Couturier (20), M. Michkov (24)
    wristxG 0.09Video
    1-6
    6:06

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:48PITAnthony Beauvillier · High stickingdrawn by Cam York2 min

2nd

  • 0:37PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Foerster2 min
  • 8:05PHIGarnet Hathaway · Interferencedrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

3rd

  • 0:16PITBryan Rust · Holdingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 3:47PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalPIT goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tyson Foerster, 2nd 11:55 — PHI 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Brink · Goal · xG 0.37M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.18R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.13M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.12G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.12T. Foerster · Goal · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.09E. Zamula · Missed · xG 0.09O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.07M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pelletier · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.05S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.05C. York · Missed · xG 0.05M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.05R. Ristolainen · Goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsPHI
3.01 G
All situations
6 G2.9
2.71 G
Even strength
6 G2.4
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT50%50%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.90 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsPHI
24
Shots on goal
38
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
14
9
Blocked shots
15
20
Giveaways
14
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011-100.24202—22:46
65E. KarlssonD000-320.12100—21:13
87S. CrosbyC000-220.081105719:26
73P. JosephD000-420.02010—19:26
7V. DesharnaisD000-130.14230—19:03
17B. RustR000-221.11102—18:52
5R. SheaD000010.03110—18:24
67R. RakellR000-220.09200—18:09
24M. GrzelcykD000-110.02210—17:48
71E. MalkinC000-200.071004015:06
72A. BeauvillierR000-230.38002—14:19
19C. GlassC000010.190104314:03
55N. AcciariC000-100.001006013:26
8M. BuntingL011010.00000—13:17
13K. HayesR000020.110005512:57
53P. TomasinoR101010.31100—12:29
46B. LizotteC000-110.071107512:14
43D. HeinenL000-300.00300—11:02
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(L)38326.8422.95-3.0560:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).