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Flyers at Penguins
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
3
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸7
FinalTV SN-PIT, NBCSP+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Bunting's goal at 18:48 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 75% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 27, PIT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 9 of 14 (.643), 3.6 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 3 A), 2. Michael Bunting (2 G), 3. Rickard Rakell (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Bunting2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1921206327
PITPIT491528722

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust(15)
    S. Crosby (27), R. Rakell (12)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:29
  2. PHI
    E. Zamula(2)
    R. Poehling (9), S. Laughton (10)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:12
  3. PIT
    R. Rakell(16)
    B. Rust (12), E. Karlsson (20)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:53
  4. PIT
    M. Bunting(8)PPG
    E. Malkin (21), S. Crosby (28)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:15
  5. PIT
    P. Tomasino(4)PPG
    S. Crosby (29), R. Rakell (13)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    17:44

2nd period

  1. PHI
    N. Cates(6)
    B. Brink (11), C. York (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-4
    4:29
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(7)
    T. Konecny (25), S. Laughton (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    13:06
  3. PIT
    M. Bunting(9)
    E. Malkin (22), E. Karlsson (21)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-5
    18:48

3rd period

  1. PIT
    S. Crosby(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.93win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    17:30
  2. PIT
    B. Lizotte(8)PPG
    R. Shea (2), M. Nieto (1)
    backhandxG 0.10Video
    3-7
    19:48

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·PIT 0 PIM

1st

  • 14:53PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 16:43PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Philip Tomasino2 min

3rd

  • 19:42PHIMatvei Michkov · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Bunting, 2nd 18:48 — PIT 75% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.93R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.20M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.19P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.13M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.11B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.08R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.05B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.04B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.04M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.02C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.01R. Graves · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT7 G · 2.7 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
1.73 G
All situations
6 G2.7
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G0.8
0.00 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI50%50%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.74 – 1.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
27
Shots on goal
22
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/0
Power play
3/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
26
Hits
21
8
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000+110.08310—24:01
55R. RistolainenD000-110.05120—20:48
11T. KonecnyR011+100.02000—20:46
8C. YorkD011+100.02004—20:36
5E. ZamulaD101-120.06230—19:21
9J. DrysdaleD000-130.16000—18:04
14S. CouturierC101010.042006018:00
21S. LaughtonC022+240.553105016:58
74O. TippettR000-110.05200—16:44
24N. SeelerD000030.04110—15:50
71T. FoersterR000000.00000—15:13
27N. CatesL101010.080003314:42
10B. BrinkR011+120.17500—14:32
25R. PoehlingC011010.160001713:46
86J. FarabeeL000-410.00200—13:19
48M. FrostC000-130.221005013:02
19G. HathawayR000010.0130010012:00
39M. MichkovR000-320.03102—11:27
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(L)1495.6431.40-3.6040:00
35A. Kolosov761.8570.35-0.6518:22

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).