Skip to content

Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Evgeni Malkin scoring at 1:03. The Penguins came back from three goals down. The Flyers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 1:03 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 37, PIT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 2 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Matvei Michkov (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    M. Michkov2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI1831301501437
PITPIT063141411525

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    B. Brink (20), E. Zamula (11)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:00

2nd period

  1. PHI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:44
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    7:24
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin (28), D. Heinen (15)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    9:05
  4. PIT
    slapxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:35
  5. PHI
    M. Michkov(19)PPG
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:05
  6. PIT
    snapxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    18:17

3rd period

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.09win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-4
    2:30

Overtime

  1. PIT
    snapxG 0.19win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    1:03

Penalties

PHI 2 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:28PHICam York · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 10:15PITBokondji Imama · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min

3rd

  • 6:41PITPhilip Tomasino · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalPHI goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, OT 1:03 — PIT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.27K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.24E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.21E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.19S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.17N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.17R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.17P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.14E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.07B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.06S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05B. Imama · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.04K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.03M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Tomasino · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Imama · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsPIT
3.64 G
All situations
5 G2.5
3.43 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI68%32%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 2.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsPIT
37
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
36
15
Blocked shots
10
20
Giveaways
21
10
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000-110.02220—22:51
8C. YorkD000-110.01122—21:42
55R. RistolainenD011040.07110—21:38
11T. KonecnyR011-140.401105021:28
27N. CatesL101030.371104019:23
71T. FoersterR000020.40010—19:14
10B. BrinkR011-110.13300—18:53
5E. ZamulaD011000.00120—18:44
21S. LaughtonC000-120.193106418:17
24N. SeelerD011010.02030—17:30
9J. DrysdaleD000-100.00110—16:40
74O. TippettR112040.25000—14:39
96A. KuzmenkoL011-110.34100—14:39
14S. CouturierC000040.790002714:31
39M. MichkovR213-150.30000—13:54
25R. PoehlingC000020.031005010:49
22J. PelletierL000020.32000—10:38
19G. HathawayR000000.00400—05:39
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)25205.8002.50-2.5061:03

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).