Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in overtime, Evgeni Malkin scoring at 1:03. The Penguins came back from three goals down. The Flyers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 1:03 of overtime, which took the Penguins' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 37, PIT 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.5 goals below expected; Joel Blomqvist stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 2 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (2 G, 1 A), 3. Matvei Michkov (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★E. Malkin2 G, 2 A

- ★★E. Karlsson2 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Michkov2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-02:00
2nd period
2-01:44
3-07:24
3-19:05
3-29:35
4-211:05
4-318:17
3rd period
4-42:30
Overtime
4-51:03
Penalties
1st
- 15:28
Cam York · High stickingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
2nd
- 10:15
Bokondji Imama · Interferencedrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
3rd
- 6:41
Philip Tomasino · Trippingdrawn by Matvei Michkov2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, OT 1:03 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.64 G
- All situations
- 5 G2.5
- 3.43 G
- Even strength
- 5 G2.2
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 2.44
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 20
- Hits
- 36
- 15
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 20
- Giveaways
- 21
- 10
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
