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Jets at Avalanche
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Colorado Avalanche
2
Final/OTTV ALT, KTVD·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 in overtime, Neal Pionk scoring at 0:17. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Neal Pionk's goal at 0:17 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were WPG 25, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Neal Pionk (1 G), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, .926), 3. Jonathan Drouin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 G
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Drouin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WPGWPG08290711325
COLCOL091101800227

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(19)
    D. Toews (17), J. Drouin (11)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:09
  2. WPG
    M. Barron(5)
    D. Gustafsson (1), J. Morrissey (36)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:56
  3. WPG
    G. Vilardi(20)
    J. Morrissey (37), V. Namestnikov (12)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:44

3rd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(16)
    M. Rantanen (39), J. Drouin (12)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:05

Overtime

  1. WPG
    N. Pionk(7)
    V. Namestnikov (13), C. Hellebuyck (1)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:17

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·COL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:41WPGCole Perfetti · High stickingdrawn by Artturi Lehkonen2 min
  • 10:45COLJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 7:12WPGMason Appleton · Trippingdrawn by Keaton Middleton2 min
  • 7:12COLKeaton Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

3rd

  • 15:47WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWPG goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Neal Pionk, OT 0:17 — WPG 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.35C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.25M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.24C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.23C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.18N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.18L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.12M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05L. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02K. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsCOL
2.43 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.13 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsCOL
25
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
29
20
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022040.11000—23:15
4N. PionkD101+120.08210—23:01
2D. DeMeloD000000.08310—21:53
54D. SambergD000010.08060—21:30
55M. ScheifeleC000030.661204619:51
81K. ConnorL000030.18130—19:43
9A. IafalloL000010.1600010017:18
27N. EhlersL000+210.11012—16:29
7V. NamestnikovC022+210.062206015:45
64L. StanleyD000020.02100—15:39
13G. VilardiC101+120.510004014:53
62N. NiederreiterR000-100.00200—14:19
91C. PerfettiC000-110.07022013:55
24H. FleuryD000010.01100—13:19
15R. KupariC000-110.011006311:53
22M. AppletonC000010.11102011:53
19D. GustafssonC011000.050103810:37
36M. BarronC101010.0601010009:38
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)27252.9263.14+1.1460:17

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).