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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Winnipeg Jets
▸1
FinalTV ALT, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 1-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 1:06 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 54% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 35, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 35 of 35 (1.000), 3.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (35 saves, 1.000), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (27 saves, .964), 3. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck35 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0909017035
WPGWPG1150904128

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(6)
    M. Scheifele (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:06

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:22COLArtturi Lehkonen · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Kupari2 min

2nd

  • 15:34COLDevon Toews · Trippingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

3rd

  • 18:50WPGJosh Morrissey · Holdingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 1st 1:06 — WPG 54% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.48K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.28G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.14N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.09V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.08A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03R. Kupari · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.00C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG1 G · 2.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
3.70 G
All situations
1 G2.4
2.70 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL77%23%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
35
Shots on goal
28
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
15
14
Giveaways
12
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000020.24210—25:16
62A. LehkonenL000020.44002—25:11
29N. MacKinnonC000040.210004124:29
96M. RantanenR000030.540106723:55
49S. GirardD000-130.05040—21:04
7D. ToewsD000030.09102—20:42
42J. MansonD000-100.01330—18:37
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.210004617:59
70S. MalinskiD000020.02000—17:13
25L. O'ConnorR000-120.21110—16:12
94J. KivirantaL000-110.14110—14:39
44C. de HaanD000020.06210—14:33
17P. KellyC000010.101004013:29
51N. KovalenkoR000010.13120—12:27
82I. IvanC000000.14110010:35
9T. TynanC000020.770005009:11
85N. PrishchepovC000010.01200006:49
14C. WagnerR000040.373006706:30
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)28271.9641.93+0.9357:09

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).