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Avalanche at Jets
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
0
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, ALT·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 15:53 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.4 to 1.8; shots on goal were COL 22, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of 28 (.929); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0100507022
WPGWPG11111216329

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(13)
    D. Samberg (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:08

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Scheifele(25)
    K. Connor (32), J. Morrissey (34)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    15:53

3rd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(14)EN
    A. Lowry (15), A. Iafallo (9)
    wristxG 0.58Video
    0-3
    19:03

Penalties

COL 0 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:01WPGDylan Coghlan · High stickingdrawn by Ross Colton2 min

3rd

  • 4:42WPGKyle Connor · High stickingdrawn by Jere Innala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCOL goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 15:53 — WPG 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.58C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.18M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.18K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.11A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.03N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.02G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01D. Coghlan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.00N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toninato · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWPG
1.80 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.00 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL47%53%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 1.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWPG
22
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/2
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
23
9
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000-200.02010—27:22
7D. ToewsD000-120.07010—25:44
96M. RantanenR000-130.792104024:33
29N. MacKinnonC000-130.320104724:17
27J. DrouinL000-120.07100—22:58
42J. MansonD000-130.06200—19:22
37C. MittelstadtC000-200.000003819:08
70S. MalinskiD000-100.00110—18:15
62A. LehkonenL000-110.06100—17:50
20R. ColtonC000-120.0110010015:26
44C. de HaanD000-110.01420—15:20
94J. KivirantaL000-100.00310—14:31
25L. O'ConnorR000-120.17000—13:50
17P. KellyC000010.122001411:32
67K. MiddletonD000020.05210—11:16
16J. ParssinenC000-100.000005009:29
22J. InnalaL000000.00100—06:46
48T. FelhaberL000000.00100—04:25
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(L)28262.9291.86-0.1457:56

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).