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Oilers at Stars
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Dallas Stars
1
FinalTV TNT, truTV·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Dallas Stars 3-1. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 1:06 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 26, DAL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2 G), 2. Stuart Skinner (19 saves, .950), 3. Evan Bouchard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1827011326
DALDAL0406110120

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(5)PPG
    E. Bouchard (18), C. McDavid (25)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:09

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(6)PPG
    L. Draisaitl (17), E. Bouchard (19)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:06
  2. EDM
    P. Broberg(1)
    A. Henrique (2), E. Kane (4)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    5:09

3rd period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(10)
    T. Harley (4), L. Stankoven (5)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:09

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 13:51DALRyan Suter · Roughingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 17:48EDMserved by Z. Hyman · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:50DALMiro Heiskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:54DALMatt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 17:16EDMBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalEDM goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 2nd 1:06 — EDM 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.19J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.17L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.16E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.14W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.14S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.07M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.07S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.06T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL1 G · 2.0 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsDAL
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.51 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.72 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsDAL
26
Shots on goal
20
49%
Faceoffs
51%
2/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
24
25
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000-110.12250—22:38
2E. BouchardD022020.01130—22:21
14M. EkholmD000010.06010—21:17
29L. DraisaitlC011010.171104420:48
97C. McDavidC011050.343008320:22
18Z. HymanL000050.45110—20:12
5C. CeciD000+110.01110—19:41
27B. KulakD000-120.09052—19:27
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC202030.68100018:47
71R. McLeodC000000.18010015:39
19A. HenriqueC011000.001006013:46
13M. JanmarkC000000.53100013:09
91E. KaneL011010.061105013:08
86P. BrobergD101+110.01030—12:40
28C. BrownR000020.02010—12:31
90C. PerryR000000.00000—11:44
55D. HollowayL000010.02220—11:37
39S. CarrickC000000.00100006:17
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)20191.9502.00+1.0060:00

Series

EDM leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).