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Oilers at Stars
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
Final/2OTTV TNT, truTV·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in double overtime, Connor McDavid scoring at 0:32. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 0:32 of the second overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 3.1; shots on goal were EDM 38, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOT2OTT
EDMEDM032140120811338
DALDAL07110170900233

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(9)
    B. Kulak (4), Z. Hyman (3)
    snapxG 0.35win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:58
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(12)
    C. McDavid (20)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:17
  3. DAL
    T. Seguin(4)
    J. Benn (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:11

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(5)
    E. Dadonov (4), J. Robertson (10)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:37

2OT overtime

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(3)
    E. Bouchard (16), R. Nugent-Hopkins (13)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +52 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:32

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:09EDMEvander Kane · Roughingdrawn by Miro Heiskanen2 min
  • 18:28EDMDylan Holloway · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

2nd

  • 6:51EDMEvan Bouchard · Slashingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min
  • 18:43DALserved by M. Marchment · Too many men on the ice2 min

OT

  • 0:17EDMConnor McDavid · High sticking double minordrawn by Matt Duchene4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalEDM goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2OT 0:32 — EDM 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.18T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.16E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.15J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.15W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.15E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.12W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.10T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.10J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.10J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.09E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.08T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.07J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.06E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.04J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.02W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.01J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.00J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsDAL
3.33 G
All situations
2 G3.1
3.03 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM55%45%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.29 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsDAL
38
Shots on goal
33
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/1
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
34
Hits
30
24
Blocked shots
25
15
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000000.13140—31:48
2E. BouchardD011+340.07122—31:33
97C. McDavidC112+240.531243827:04
25D. NurseD000020.12110—26:47
18Z. HymanL112+240.31200—26:05
5C. CeciD000010.02110—26:02
29L. DraisaitlC101+130.491002825:17
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011+130.212105024:46
73V. DesharnaisD000-110.02160—23:08
91E. KaneL000040.1350210022:04
27B. KulakD011020.04130—20:18
55D. HollowayL000020.3941210019:53
28C. BrownR000000.0012010016:55
13M. JanmarkC000010.11000016:26
71R. McLeodC000-130.125004315:28
37W. FoegeleL000-100.23110—14:17
10D. RyanC000-120.252007512:37
39S. CarrickC000020.134006412:12
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)33312.9393.07+1.0780:32

Series

EDM leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).