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Oilers at Stars
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Dallas Stars
▸3
FinalTV TNT, truTV·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Marchment's goal at 3:41 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were EDM 29, DAL 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Jake Oettinger stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason Marchment (1 G), 2. Jake Oettinger (28 saves, .966), 3. Stuart Skinner (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Marchment1 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger28 saves, .966
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1160805129
DALDAL14011210325

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(4)
    W. Johnston (5), M. Heiskanen (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:39
  2. EDM
    C. Brown(1)
    C. Ceci (2), W. Foegele (2)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:23

3rd period

  1. DAL
    M. Marchment(2)
    R. Suter (3), S. Steel (4)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:41
  2. DAL
    E. Lindell(2)EN
    J. Benn (7), W. Johnston (6)
    wristxG 0.52win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:57

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·DAL 4 PIM

1st

  • 10:50DALEsa Lindell · High stickingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min

2nd

  • 6:52EDMDarnell Nurse · Interferencedrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

3rd

  • 18:30DALJamie Benn · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 19:12EDMEvander Kane · Slashingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalEDM goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Marchment, 3rd 3:41 — DAL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · Goal · xG 0.51J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.24J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.21E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.19T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.17C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.10T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.09T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06M. Marchment · Goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.04L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.00T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL3 G · 2.8 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsDAL
2.51 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM54%46%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsDAL
29
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
31
9
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD000-130.17000—27:22
97C. McDavidC000-110.042005324:29
14M. EkholmD000-120.24000—24:24
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.141006223:28
18Z. HymanL000020.27100—23:23
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000-100.08200018:47
91E. KaneL000-250.562025017:55
5C. CeciD011010.04010—17:10
25D. NurseD000020.03012—16:44
27B. KulakD000-100.00040—15:46
73V. DesharnaisD000-100.00220—15:13
55D. HollowayL000-120.25200—14:24
71R. McLeodC000-120.172005011:03
37W. FoegeleL011-220.07200—10:46
28C. BrownR101+130.42000—10:33
13M. JanmarkC000+120.04000009:49
39S. CarrickC000+100.002005709:17
10D. RyanC000-100.00110008:20
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)24222.9172.27+0.2758:19

Series

EDM leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).