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Stars at Oilers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Oilers came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Janmark's goal at 14:31 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 50% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were DAL 22, EDM 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jake Oettinger stopped 24 of 28 (.857); Stuart Skinner stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Mattias Janmark (1 G), 2. Connor McDavid (3 A), 3. Ryan McLeod (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    M. Janmark1 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. McLeod1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL260808222
EDMEDM21221215529

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    W. Johnston(9)
    J. Benn (10), T. Harley (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:58
  2. DAL
    E. Lindell(3)
    M. Heiskanen (10), J. Benn (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:29
  3. EDM
    R. McLeod(1)
    C. Perry (1), D. Nurse (3)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:30
  4. EDM
    E. Bouchard(6)
    C. McDavid (22), R. Nugent-Hopkins (14)
    snapxG 0.46win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:17

2nd period

  1. EDM
    M. Janmark(2)SHG
    C. Brown (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:31
  2. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(10)
    Z. Hyman (4), C. McDavid (23)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    15:22

3rd period

  1. EDM
    M. Ekholm(4)EN
    C. McDavid (24)
    wristxG 0.39Video
    2-5
    18:07

Penalties

DAL 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:17DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Connor Brown2 min

2nd

  • 13:12EDMDerek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 11:51EDMZach Hyman · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalDAL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Janmark, 2nd 14:31 — EDM 50% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.46C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.42M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.39R. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.29L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.20C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.17M. Janmark · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.01M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM5 G · 3.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsEDM
2.22 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL29%71%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsEDM
22
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
43
14
Blocked shots
16
6
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011-210.03010—27:33
23E. LindellD101010.06110—23:43
55T. HarleyD011000.00000—21:39
20R. SuterD000-200.00000—19:06
53W. JohnstonC101-220.322005019:02
95M. DucheneC000-200.000102517:47
21J. RobertsonL000-230.38110—17:38
16J. PavelskiC000-200.000105016:52
24R. HintzC000-100.222206715:59
27M. MarchmentL000-320.29200—15:55
11L. StankovenC000+130.18100015:39
14J. BennL022+110.062104315:13
28A. PetrovicD000000.00210—14:59
91T. SeguinC000-230.183003614:00
63E. DadonovL000020.44110—13:13
18S. SteelC000020.0620010011:20
12R. FaksaC000020.012125710:43
3C. TanevD000000.00030—08:37
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Oettinger(L)28244.8573.54-0.4659:02

Series

EDM leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).