Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 11:53 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were BOS 34, TOR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909). Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (28 saves, .933), 2. Brad Marchand (2 G, 1 A), 3. Ilya Samsonov (30 saves, .909).
Three stars
- ★J. Swayman28 saves, .933

- ★★B. Marchand2 G, 1 A

- ★★★I. Samsonov30 saves, .909

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals2nd period
0-113:10
1-117:37
3rd period
2-11:07
2-211:25
3-211:53
4-219:24
Penalties
1st
- 0:40
Simon Benoit · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 4:21
Mason Lohrei · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
- 9:08
Pavel Zacha · Trippingdrawn by Ilya Lyubushkin2 min
2nd
- 7:15
David Pastrnak · Hookingdrawn by Calle Jarnkrok2 min
- 18:38
Charlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min
- 19:44
Tyler Bertuzzi · Roughingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
3rd
- 4:07
Mason Lohrei · Hookingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
- 18:56
John Tavares · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brad Marchand, 3rd 11:53 — 48% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.73 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.9
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G1.3
- 0.30 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.47 – 2.86
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 2/3
- Power play
- 0/5
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 63
- Hits
- 74
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 15
- Giveaways
- 14
- 4
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Series
BOS leads 4-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















