Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 19:05 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 23, TOR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Joseph Woll stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (22 saves, .957), 2. William Nylander (2 G), 3. Jeremy Swayman (24 saves, .923).
Three stars
- ★J. Woll22 saves, .957

- ★★W. Nylander2 G

- ★★★J. Swayman24 saves, .923

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
0-119:05
3rd period
0-217:47
1-219:59
Penalties
1st
- 10:31
Brad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
2nd
- 1:10
David Pastrnak · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi4 min
- 12:02
Joseph Woll · Trippingdrawn by John Beecher2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 19:05 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.61 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.0
- 2.41 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.20 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.95
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 37%
- Faceoffs
- 63%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 55
- Hits
- 46
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 27
- 17
- Giveaways
- 15
- 4
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Series
BOS leads 4-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
