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Bruins at Maple Leafs
NHL

Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV TBS, MAX·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Boston Bruins 2-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Nylander's goal at 19:05 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 23, TOR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Joseph Woll stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Joseph Woll (22 saves, .957), 2. William Nylander (2 G), 3. Jeremy Swayman (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Woll22 saves, .957
  2. ★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander2 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS01012110123
TORTOR0121816226

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.01win prob +23 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:05

3rd period

  1. TOR
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:47
  2. BOS
    1-2
    19:59

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:31BOSBrad Marchand · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 1:10BOSDavid Pastrnak · High sticking double minordrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi4 min
  • 12:02TORJoseph Woll · Trippingdrawn by John Beecher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalBOS goalFinal: TOR 100%

Biggest swing: William Nylander, 2nd 19:05 — TOR 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.54C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.51M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.21N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.20M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.16J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.09M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.08N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.07D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.05M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.02M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.02S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.01W. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.00T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTOR
2.61 G
All situations
2 G3.0
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS62%38%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.59 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTOR
23
Shots on goal
26
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
55
Hits
46
14
Blocked shots
27
17
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-220.211130—26:29
6M. LohreiD000020.03000—21:37
27H. LindholmD000-100.01100—20:32
88D. PastrnakR000040.50204—19:53
74J. DeBruskL000030.25500—19:51
18P. ZachaC000000.044001019:26
25B. CarloD000010.04420—19:12
39M. GeekieC101030.611103818:27
63B. MarchandL000-120.12512—18:25
13C. CoyleC000030.487205318:13
11T. FredericC000010.095004415:02
29P. WotherspoonD000010.01020—14:30
12K. ShattenkirkD011+100.00000—14:27
19J. BeecherC000-100.071303310:30
70J. BoqvistC000-100.0020010010:22
21J. van RiemsdykL011+100.00200—10:16
55J. BrazeauR000010.14400—09:36
61P. MaroonL000000.00100—09:02
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)26242.9231.96-0.0458:10

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).