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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

FinalTV TBS, truTV·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Carlo's goal at 5:47 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were TOR 36, BOS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (35 saves, .972), 2. Jake DeBrusk (2 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie McAvoy (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. DeBrusk2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR011013112136
BOSBOS1133913525

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:26

2nd period

  1. BOS
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    5:47
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    15:02
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:34

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:39
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.76Video
    1-5
    17:52

Penalties

TOR 12 PIM·BOS 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:22TORSimon Benoit · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 15:28TORTyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
  • 19:49BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 19:49TORMax Domi · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 20:00BOSHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

2nd

  • 13:38TORAuston Matthews · High stickingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 15:38TORMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 18:06BOSCharlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min

3rd

  • 6:56TORJake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 15:12BOSBrandon Carlo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Brandon Carlo, 2nd 5:47 — BOS 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.76T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.19J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.14C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.13J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.13P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.13J. Beecher · Goal · xG 0.10B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.10J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.08J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Carlo · Goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
3.31 G
All situations
4 G2.8
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR72%28%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 1.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
36
Shots on goal
25
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
2/5
12
Penalty minutes
8
52
Hits
51
14
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-210.01300—24:17
34A. MatthewsC000050.673022820:53
22J. McCabeD000+110.04662—20:33
16M. MarnerR000020.02200—20:06
2S. BenoitD000010.03812—19:59
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.00300—18:18
20J. EdmundsonD000-100.02020—17:32
19C. JarnkrokC000-110.12320017:23
91J. TavaresC000061.043006715:39
59T. BertuzziL000-120.25502—15:27
29P. HolmbergR000-230.131007514:51
11M. DomiC000-130.11204014:50
46I. LyubushkinD000000.02400—14:48
64D. KampfC101020.151004014:09
24C. DewarC011020.04110012:27
89N. RobertsonL000-130.24110—10:38
23M. KniesL000-220.2331010010:31
75R. ReavesR011020.13300—07:31
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(L)24204.8332.06-1.9458:48

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).