Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Carlo's goal at 5:47 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were TOR 36, BOS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.9 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (35 saves, .972), 2. Jake DeBrusk (2 G, 1 A), 3. Charlie McAvoy (2 A).
Three stars
- ★J. Swayman35 saves, .972

- ★★J. DeBrusk2 G, 1 A

- ★★★C. McAvoy2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-12:26
2nd period
0-25:47
0-315:02
0-417:34
3rd period
1-41:39
1-517:52
Penalties
1st
- 5:22
Simon Benoit · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
- 15:28
Tyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Hampus Lindholm2 min
- 19:49
Charlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 19:49
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
- 20:00
Hampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
2nd
- 13:38
Auston Matthews · High stickingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
- 15:38
Max Domi · Slashingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
- 18:06
Charlie Coyle · Trippingdrawn by Auston Matthews2 min
3rd
- 6:56
Jake McCabe · Interferencedrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
- 15:12
Brandon Carlo · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brandon Carlo, 2nd 5:47 — 70% → 85%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.31 G
- All situations
- 4 G2.8
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.3
- 1.10 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.16 – 1.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 36
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 2/5
- 12
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 52
- Hits
- 51
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 12
- Giveaways
- 9
- 6
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Series
BOS leads 4-3
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
