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Maple Leafs at Bruins
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV ABC, ESPN+·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-1 in overtime, David Pastrnak scoring at 1:54. The Maple Leafs scored first; the Bruins answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 1:54 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.4 to 2.0; shots on goal were TOR 31, BOS 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Jeremy Swayman stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G), 2. Jeremy Swayman (30 saves, .968), 3. Ilya Samsonov (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman30 saves, .968
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    I. Samsonov30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR090121802131
BOSBOS0120711013232

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +31 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:01
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +33 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:22

Overtime

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +48 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:54

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·BOS 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:09TORTimothy Liljegren · Trippingdrawn by James van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 4:36BOSCharlie Coyle · Cross checkingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 10:06TORMatthew Knies · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTOR goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, OT 1:54 — BOS 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.23D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.20D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.12M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.12C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.11M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.08J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.08M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Carlo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Beecher · Missed · xG 0.03P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · Missed · xG 0.02M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS2 G · 2.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsBOS
2.01 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR42%58%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsBOS
31
Shots on goal
32
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
42
Hits
48
23
Blocked shots
20
1
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44M. RiellyD000-220.08140—24:58
22J. McCabeD000000.06020—24:11
88W. NylanderR101050.5513010022:26
2S. BenoitD000020.03640—20:28
16M. MarnerR000-110.0700010020:04
46I. LyubushkinD000-100.00910—19:38
23M. KniesL000020.21102—18:43
91J. TavaresC000-130.106304618:01
20J. EdmundsonD000+120.21300—17:51
59T. BertuzziL011+130.09010—17:43
34A. MatthewsC011+130.127105817:35
11M. DomiC000010.080105015:33
37T. LiljegrenD000000.00222—15:07
29P. HolmbergR000000.00100—13:13
64D. KampfC000-120.011006712:05
19C. JarnkrokC000040.200005010:49
24C. DewarC000-110.17200009:17
18N. GregorL000-100.01210—07:48
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35I. Samsonov(L)32302.9382.38+0.3861:54

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).