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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 2:46 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 65% to 79%. Expected goals were close — CHI 2.6, STL 2.6; shots on goal were CHI 20, STL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Arvid Soderblom stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Joel Hofer stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (2 G), 2. Robert Thomas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Zachary Bolduc (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. Thomas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    Z. Bolduc1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0111019220
STLSTL490819526

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    N. Leddy (23), J. Hofer (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:04
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:46
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:37
  4. STL
    R. Thomas (58), B. Schenn (24)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-4
    6:59

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wrap-aroundxG 0.25win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    8:40

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.25win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:01
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.12Video
    2-5
    16:51

Penalties

CHI 10 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 13:11CHINikita Zaitsev · Hookingdrawn by Zach Dean2 min
  • 19:30STLScott Perunovich · Interferencedrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

2nd

  • 7:38CHISeth Jones · High stickingdrawn by Nikita Alexandrov2 min
  • 7:49STLRobert Thomas · Trippingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 18:31CHIAlex Vlasic · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Tucker2 min
  • 18:31STLTyler Tucker · Roughingdrawn by Alex Vlasic2 min

3rd

  • 5:06CHITaylor Raddysh · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:30STLSammy Blais · Roughingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min
  • 19:30CHIJarred Tinordi · Roughingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 1st 2:46 — STL 65% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · Goal · xG 0.25M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.22B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.21P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.07K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.07M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.07S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.07B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.04N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04T. Tucker · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.04N. Alexandrov · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Dean · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · Goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Dean · Missed · xG 0.02N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.62 G
All situations
5 G2.6
2.02 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI50%50%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
26
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
28
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
10
2
Giveaways
11
12
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55K. KorchinskiD011010.26120—25:37
4S. JonesD000-100.18102—22:33
72A. VlasicD000-130.14022—21:06
98C. BedardC000-120.151103819:52
24J. MegnaD000+110.02220—18:05
23P. KurashevC101-110.380108017:21
22N. ZaitsevD000-300.00002—16:12
27L. ReichelL000-210.30000—15:47
16J. DickinsonC000-120.153005315:38
90T. JohnsonC000-110.11100015:28
25J. TinordiD000-200.00422—14:51
89A. AthanasiouC000-110.030204014:41
11T. RaddyshR000-120.38302—14:09
43C. BlackwellC000-100.0042010013:19
58M. EntwistleR011000.064102012:29
84L. SlaggertL101030.26000—11:59
15J. AndersonR000-100.00010—11:42
8R. DonatoC011020.21400010:41
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Soderblom23212.9132.35+0.3555:23
34P. Mrazek(L)303.0000.23-2.7704:37

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).