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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NBCSCH, BSMW·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first and never trailed. The Blackhawks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Vlasic's goal at 9:20 of the first period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 39, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Petr Mrazek stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Zaitsev (2 A), 2. Petr Mrazek (38 saves, .974), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    N. Zaitsev2 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek38 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    A. Beauvillier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL09014116139
CHICHI2141802324

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:43
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:20

2nd period

  1. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:53

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.12Video
    1-3
    16:31

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·CHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:36CHIAlex Vlasic · Holdingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 1:59STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Reese Johnson2 min
  • 18:44CHIReese Johnson · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 18:44STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Reese Johnson5 min

2nd

  • 16:54CHIMacKenzie Entwistle · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

3rd

  • 1:37CHIConnor Murphy · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 5:47STLJakub Vrana · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 16:17STLRobert Thomas · Holdingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Vlasic, 1st 9:20 — CHI 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.24T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.17A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.16R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.13T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.12C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.12M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.11P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.11N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.08C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.08M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.08C. Guttman · Missed · xG 0.08T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.08C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07C. Guttman · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.03C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.00C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
3.81 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.70 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL64%36%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
39
Shots on goal
24
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
16
4
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000-130.06110—23:41
89P. BuchnevichL000020.381005023:40
55C. ParaykoD000-150.04140—22:14
18R. ThomasC000040.580045322:10
63J. NeighboursL000030.36010—21:34
4N. LeddyD011010.07010—21:31
72J. FaulkD000-150.38010—20:05
25J. KyrouR000020.16000—17:26
10B. SchennC000010.536054616:56
12K. HayesR000020.210004015:12
70O. SundqvistC101030.170002915:06
48S. PerunovichD000-110.03000—14:32
20B. SaadL000-220.22200—14:16
42K. KapanenR000000.05110—12:47
6M. ScandellaD000000.00500—10:04
13A. ToropchenkoR000030.16010—09:33
15J. VranaL000-200.00002—08:59
56H. McGingL000-320.36100—07:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)24213.8752.87-0.1356:16

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).