St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 5:27 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 28, CHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Arvid Soderblom stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Neighbours (2 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (31 saves, .939).
Three stars
- ★J. Neighbours2 G

- ★★P. Buchnevich1 G, 2 A

- ★★★J. Binnington31 saves, .939

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-03:21
2-05:27
2-114:45
3-117:02
3rd period
4-113:52
4-218:58
Penalties
1st
- 12:21
Tyler Tucker · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
- 16:00
Wyatt Kaiser · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
2nd
- 10:20
Isaak Phillips · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min
3rd
- 15:26
Kasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 1st 5:27 — 58% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.24 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 2.83 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.1
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 33
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 18
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 4
- 18
- Giveaways
- 24
- 7
- Takeaways
- 10
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















