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St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 5:27 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were STL 28, CHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 31 of 33 (.939); Arvid Soderblom stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Neighbours (2 G), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Neighbours2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL3801218428
CHICHI110012111233

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:21
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou (9), B. Saad (6)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    5:27
  3. CHI
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:45
  4. STL
    R. Thomas (13), T. Krug (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    17:02

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:52
  2. CHI
    backhandxG 0.18Video
    4-2
    18:58

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:21STLTyler Tucker · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min
  • 16:00CHIWyatt Kaiser · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

2nd

  • 10:20CHIIsaak Phillips · Holdingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

3rd

  • 15:26STLKasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Boris Katchouk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalSTL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 1st 5:27 — STL 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.25R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.19B. Katchouk · Goal · xG 0.18N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.16T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.13N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.12R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.10R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.09L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.08L. Reichel · Missed · xG 0.08N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.04A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01I. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.01N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCHI
3.24 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL63%37%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.18 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCHI
28
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
18
21
Blocked shots
4
18
Giveaways
24
7
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-210.02210—23:44
4N. LeddyD000-200.04140—23:04
72J. FaulkD000+220.03120—20:40
47T. KrugD022+230.36120—19:04
18R. ThomasC022+210.230106218:23
89P. BuchnevichL123+240.34000—18:06
63J. NeighboursL202+130.80420—17:32
10B. SchennC000-230.381103816:37
6M. ScandellaD000+100.00110—15:59
13A. ToropchenkoR000-110.15000—14:49
75T. TuckerD000+100.00132—14:44
20B. SaadL011+100.00000—14:18
12K. HayesR101+120.122004614:01
25J. KyrouR011+120.23010—13:51
15J. VranaL000-220.26120—12:53
70O. SundqvistC000020.062105012:53
42K. KapanenR000000.0000210012:42
79S. BlaisL000020.21700—12:40
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)33312.9392.48+0.4860:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).