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Jets at Wild
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 13:39 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.2, MIN 2.2; shots on goal were WPG 25, MIN 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vladislav Namestnikov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (25 saves, .926).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    V. Namestnikov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck25 saves, .926

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG2101916425
MINMIN21106010227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(11)
    A. Iafallo (15)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:33
  2. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(38)
    M. Zuccarello (47)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:46
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(31)
    S. Monahan (32), D. DeMelo (27)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:44
  4. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(39)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (48), B. Faber (35)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:42

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Iafallo(11)
    B. Dillon (12), V. Namestnikov (25)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:39

3rd period

  1. WPG
    M. Barron(11)
    D. Samberg (16), V. Namestnikov (26)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:46

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:55WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 16:21WPGNeal Pionk · Slashingdrawn by Adam Beckman2 min

2nd

  • 2:58MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Slashingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 15:56WPGMorgan Barron · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

3rd

  • 14:56MINKirill Kaprizov · Holdingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:25WPGMorgan Barron · High stickingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 13:39 — WPG 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.17M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.15K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.12D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Lucchini · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01M. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lucchini · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
2.24 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.84 G
Even strength
1 G1.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG50%50%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 2.17

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
25
Shots on goal
27
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. DeMeloD011+200.00420—22:39
5B. DillonD011+210.00300—21:58
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00010—21:51
4N. PionkD000040.05022—20:17
23S. MonahanC011000.020103618:56
55M. ScheifeleC000000.150106418:19
17A. LowryC000020.462206717:20
13G. VilardiC000010.29010016:45
54D. SambergD011+120.03020—16:36
81K. ConnorL101010.08002—16:22
27N. EhlersL000030.28000—14:18
64L. StanleyD000+100.01020—14:15
22M. AppletonC000000.10000013:54
73T. ToffoliC000040.17100013:14
91C. PerfettiC000010.03000012:47
9A. IafalloL112+310.07000—11:27
7V. NamestnikovC123+320.32200011:09
36M. BarronC101+330.090146711:06
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)27252.9262.18+0.1860:00

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).