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Jets at Wild
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸3
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 3-2. The Wild scored first; the Jets answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dominic Toninato's goal at 7:32 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were WPG 29, MIN 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Laurent Brossoit stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.6 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (26 saves, .897), 2. Dominic Toninato (1 G), 3. Neal Pionk (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Fleury26 saves, .897
  2. ★★
    WPG
    D. Toninato1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Pionk1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0818213329
MINMIN1120618226

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Foligno(6)
    J. Spurgeon (5), F. Gaudreau (6)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:07

2nd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(7)
    M. Appleton (13), D. DeMelo (12)
    backhandxG 0.49win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:08

3rd period

  1. MIN
    F. Gaudreau(3)PPG
    M. Johansson (16), N. Petan (1)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:56
  2. WPG
    V. Namestnikov(4)PPG
    C. Perfetti (13), N. Schmidt (3)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:52
  3. WPG
    D. Toninato(1)
    B. Dillon (6), N. Pionk (11)
    backhandxG 0.27win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:32

Penalties

WPG 7 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:02WPGAdam Lowry · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min
  • 0:02MINPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Adam Lowry5 min
  • 5:21MINZach Bogosian · Cross checkingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min

2nd

  • 11:44MINDakota Mermis · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 1:59WPGNeal Pionk · High stickingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 4:40MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWPG goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Dominic Toninato, 3rd 7:32 — WPG 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.18M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.15F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.12N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.10M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.02N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.00F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 1.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsMIN
2.63 G
All situations
2 G1.4
1.82 G
Even strength
1 G1.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG73%27%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 1.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsMIN
29
Shots on goal
26
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/3
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
36
28
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000020.03050—23:48
2D. DeMeloD011+110.01250—22:33
55M. ScheifeleC000+130.303104322:29
4N. PionkD011010.03112—20:05
13G. VilardiC000000.17100019:47
5B. DillonD011010.04010—19:32
62N. NiederreiterR000020.25100—18:31
27N. EhlersL000040.49230—18:12
22M. AppletonC011040.14010018:02
88N. SchmidtD011010.07240—16:54
17A. LowryC101010.490053715:22
9A. IafalloL000000.07030—14:11
54D. SambergD000+110.01010—14:10
7V. NamestnikovC101020.090001113:20
36M. BarronC000+110.03210011:25
21D. ToninatoC101+130.322207510:23
91C. PerfettiC011000.00100009:52
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000+120.08000—09:47
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39L. Brossoit(W)26242.9231.43-0.5759:40

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).