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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 4-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Axel Jonsson-Fjallby's goal at 2:46 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 77% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 4.0 to 3.4; shots on goal were MIN 36, WPG 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 19 of 22 (.864); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nino Niederreiter (2 G), 2. Cole Perfetti, 3. Dominic Toninato (1 A).

Three stars

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN09114113236
WPGWPG212110110432

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    slapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:59
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.45win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:38

2nd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.50win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:45
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(11)PPG
    snapxG 0.15win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    10:05

3rd period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.25win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:20
  2. WPG
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    2:46

Penalties

MIN 15 PIM·WPG 17 PIM

1st

  • 9:28MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 2:13MINJon Merrill · Interferencedrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 4:06WPGAdam Lowry · Holdingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 8:11WPGMark Scheifele · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 9:28WPGBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min
  • 9:28MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 10:44MINJake Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 14:58WPGserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:51WPGMark Scheifele · Hookingdrawn by Connor Dewar2 min

3rd

  • 5:09MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Brenden Dillon5 min
  • 5:09WPGBrenden Dillon · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 11:16MINPatrick Maroon · Trippingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 18:28WPGGabriel Vilardi · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Axel Jonsson-Fjallby, 3rd 2:46 — WPG 77% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.50N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.45A. Jonsson-Fjallby · Goal · xG 0.21G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.18C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.17A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.16C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.13C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.13J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.10G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toninato · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.00A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 4.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
3.42 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G2.8
2.01 G
Power play
0 G1.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN41%59%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
36
Shots on goal
32
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
46J. SpurgeonD000-110.03010—25:31
7B. FaberD000000.00110—22:56
23M. RossiC000040.40010020:10
90M. JohanssonL011-140.15400—20:02
12M. BoldyL101050.5500010019:44
14J. Eriksson EkC000080.613025419:40
5J. MiddletonD000020.15117—18:29
38R. HartmanR101-130.590126318:24
24Z. BogosianD000-220.02220—17:28
89F. GaudreauC011-220.110305716:52
33A. GoligoskiD000-120.05010—15:43
97K. KaprizovL011010.60010—15:30
17M. FolignoL000-100.06310—14:52
20P. MaroonL000-110.06102—14:04
26C. DewarC000-100.013102710:27
4J. MerrillD000-200.00002—09:04
21B. DuhaimeL000-100.00220—08:31
10V. LettieriC000-110.01010007:04
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)22193.8643.08+0.0840:00
29M. Fleury1091.9000.90-0.1017:29

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).