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Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV BSN, BSWI·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Minnesota Wild 6-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason Appleton's goal at 9:34 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were MIN 39, WPG 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.3 goals below expected; Laurent Brossoit stopped 36 of 39 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Laurent Brossoit (36 saves, .923), 2. Gabriel Vilardi (2 G, 1 A), 3. Marco Rossi (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    L. Brossoit36 saves, .923
  2. ★★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN011117211339
WPGWPG2816316630

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(14)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:20
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    9:34

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    1:54
  2. MIN
    M. Rossi(16)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:10

3rd period

  1. WPG
    G. Vilardi(15)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +2 ptsVideo
    1-4
    9:38
  2. WPG
    D. DeMelo (17), N. Ehlers (21)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:36
  3. MIN
    snapxG 0.18Video
    2-5
    12:33
  4. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-5
    14:11
  5. WPG
    wristxG 0.91Video
    3-6
    17:02

Penalties

MIN 18 PIM·WPG 18 PIM

1st

  • 7:32MINDeclan Chisholm · Hookingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 12:03WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min
  • 17:38MINJake Middleton · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:38MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Logan Stanley5 min
  • 17:38WPGLogan Stanley · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min

2nd

  • 12:14WPGGabriel Vilardi · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:52WPGLogan Stanley · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

3rd

  • 0:21MINJake Middleton · High stickingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 9:11MINRyan Hartman · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 11:36WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Roughingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 11:36MINJake Lucchini · Fightingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov5 min
  • 11:36WPGVladislav Namestnikov · Fightingdrawn by Jake Lucchini5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalMIN goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mason Appleton, 1st 9:34 — WPG 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.91A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.20B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.17G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.16G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.14K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.11G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.09M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.07M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.05R. Kupari · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.02M. Appleton · Goal · xG 0.02A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.02V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.01L. Stanley · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG6 G · 3.6 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWPG
3.93 G
All situations
5 G3.6
2.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
1.32 G
Power play
2 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN68%32%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.80 – 2.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWPG
39
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/4
Power play
2/4
18
Penalty minutes
18
27
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-240.58100—29:20
25J. BrodinD000-120.03040—23:09
14J. Eriksson EkC011-250.522104419:29
12M. BoldyL000-330.20100—18:26
47D. ChisholmD011000.01132—18:03
5J. MiddletonD000010.11029—17:51
6D. MermisD000-200.00010—17:40
97K. KaprizovL112-230.26000—17:28
36M. ZuccarelloR011-130.1010010016:39
89F. GaudreauC011-120.291204315:52
38R. HartmanR000-230.253026715:16
90M. JohanssonL000010.48200—14:34
21B. DuhaimeL000-120.28800—14:17
26C. DewarC000-130.106206314:00
23M. RossiC202+150.490006712:51
10V. LettieriC000+120.09100011:19
27J. LucchiniC000000.01005010:46
24Z. BogosianD000000.06020—07:05
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(L)29245.8282.70-2.3059:40

Season series

WPG leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).