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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV TNT, MAX·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 19:02 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.2; shots on goal were PHI 24, CAR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969), 2. Travis Konecny (1 G), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Noesen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI2121705324
CARCAR09111012132

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:50
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:02

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:29
  2. CAR
    snapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:00

Penalties

PHI 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 4:42PHIEgor Zamula · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:13PHINick Seeler · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 4:16PHICam York · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 9:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 1st 19:02 — PHI 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.22J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.17M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.05B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 2.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
1.23 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI23%77%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.21 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
24
Shots on goal
32
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
10
Hits
14
30
Blocked shots
8
3
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000000.03040—28:31
26S. WalkerD011+100.00130—24:03
8C. YorkD000020.30032—21:54
11T. KonecnyR101+240.14020—21:39
14S. CouturierC011+110.040204420:39
71T. FoersterR000+120.07120—20:01
25R. PoehlingC101+130.281407217:18
86J. FarabeeL000+100.05010—17:10
24N. SeelerD011+130.05122—17:10
21S. LaughtonC011+120.030006715:38
37L. BelpedioD011+120.06020—15:04
89C. AtkinsonR000000.0002010013:19
74O. TippettR101+140.19010—12:19
5E. ZamulaD000+100.00002—11:51
48M. FrostC011+100.000003311:45
27N. CatesL000-100.000005509:31
19G. HathawayR000-100.0021010009:15
44N. DeslauriersL000-110.00410—06:53
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)32311.9692.63+1.6360:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).