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Flyers at Hurricanes
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Final/OTTV NBCSP, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime, Seth Jarvis scoring at 1:28. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:28 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were PHI 32, CAR 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Samuel Ersson stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.1 goals below expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Jalen Chatfield (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Chatfield1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI081811600232
CARCAR092140713333

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Martinook(13)
    M. Necas (27), B. Pesce (10)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:56
  2. PHI
    S. Laughton(12)
    J. Farabee (28), B. Brink (12)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:21
  3. CAR
    J. Chatfield(8)
    S. Aho (49), D. Orlov (20)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:43

3rd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(28)
    M. Frost (26), O. Tippett (21)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +31 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:16

Overtime

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(26)
    B. Burns (27)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:28

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:05PHIMorgan Frost · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 12:58CARserved by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:39CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

2nd

  • 0:47PHITravis Sanheim · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min

3rd

  • 5:58CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, OT 1:28 — CAR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Noesen · Missed · xG 0.21J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · Goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.11J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chatfield · Goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.00J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 1.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
3.32 G
All situations
3 G1.9
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI73%27%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.25 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
32
Shots on goal
33
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
16
27
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. YorkD000-350.37160—29:01
6T. SanheimD000-120.19012—26:31
11T. KonecnyR101030.711408021:46
25R. PoehlingC000-130.410204019:35
21S. LaughtonC101-120.361306919:34
74O. TippettR011030.05420—19:31
48M. FrostC011+120.210027019:19
71T. FoersterR000-120.12220—17:43
19G. HathawayR000000.003003317:37
86J. FarabeeL011020.42100—16:27
5E. ZamulaD000010.01110—16:04
23R. AttardD000+120.04240—15:47
77E. JohnsonD000+100.01120—15:29
10B. BrinkR011030.28000—15:04
50A. GinningD000+110.01000—14:19
27N. CatesL000000.050008006:58
62O. LycksellR000010.02100—05:55
44N. DeslauriersL000000.00100—03:44
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Ersson(O)33303.9091.90-1.1061:28

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).