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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Philadelphia Flyers
1
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Lemieux's goal at 13:25 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 36, PHI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Pyotr Kochetkov (28 saves, .966), 2. Michael Bunting (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov28 saves, .966
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Bunting1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11111728436
PHIPHI0911208129

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(5)
    S. Aho (13), D. Orlov (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:39

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(12)
    T. Foerster (4)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:14
  2. CAR
    B. Lemieux(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:25

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis(9)
    S. Aho (14), M. Bunting (9)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:34
  2. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(8)EN
    J. Fast (3), T. Teravainen (6)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:16

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:53CARJordan Staal · Trippingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

2nd

  • 0:25CARJordan Staal · Interferencedrawn by Bobby Brink2 min
  • 18:11PHIBobby Brink · Holdingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min
  • 20:00PHIScott Laughton · Cross checkingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Brendan Lemieux, 2nd 13:25 — CAR 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.39C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.15T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.08R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.08C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.07O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.07O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.05C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.03J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02C. York · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.01T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · Missed · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.00O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI1 G · 1.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
2.73 G
All situations
1 G1.6
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR62%38%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.16 – 1.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
36
Shots on goal
29
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
11
15
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000-150.13120—22:13
74J. SlavinD000-110.01020—22:02
22B. PesceD000+110.04010—21:28
20S. AhoC022+260.340105619:25
76B. SkjeiD000+100.00010—19:06
24S. JarvisR101+220.21000—18:32
88M. NecasC000000.08020017:47
58M. BuntingL112+220.41000—17:41
82J. KotkaniemiC101+140.590003317:22
86T. TeravainenC011+120.03020016:48
5J. ChatfieldD000+320.05110—16:05
7D. OrlovD011+300.02210—15:33
23S. NoesenR000+130.13200—13:35
48J. MartinookL000-120.12110—12:52
71J. FastR011000.00000—12:29
18J. DruryC000+120.031005011:53
11J. StaalC000-110.131146811:36
28B. LemieuxL101+130.38000—09:33
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)29281.9661.61+0.6160:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).