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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
Philadelphia Flyers
2
FinalTV NBCSP, BSSO·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 16:13 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 4.3 to 1.5; shots on goal were CAR 32, PHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Carter Hart stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G), 2. Owen Tippett (1 G), 3. Stefan Noesen (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    T. Teravainen1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    O. Tippett1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Noesen1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR111111110332
PHIPHI2709012228

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Noesen(2)
    A. Svechnikov (1), D. Orlov (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:11
  2. PHI
    O. Tippett(2)
    S. Couturier (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:09
  3. PHI
    G. Hathaway(1)
    N. Deslauriers (1), S. Laughton (6)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:23

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(3)PPG
    S. Noesen (6)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:02

3rd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(8)
    M. Bunting (5), J. Kotkaniemi (6)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +42 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:13

Penalties

CAR 10 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:31CARBrady Skjei · High stickingdrawn by Bobby Brink2 min

2nd

  • 4:32CARBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 8:05PHINick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Michael Bunting2 min
  • 12:05CARserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:39CARAndrei Svechnikov · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

  • 6:43CARJordan Staal · Hookingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 3rd 16:13 — CAR 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.54T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.37M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.22T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.20S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.19T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.19O. Tippett · Goal · xG 0.17G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.17T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.15N. Deslauriers · Missed · xG 0.15J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.14G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.14O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.13S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.11S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.10C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.08T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.07T. Foerster · Missed · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.04T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.04N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.02C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02T. Foerster · On goal · xG 0.01C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.01O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01L. Belpedio · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01C. York · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.01B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.00E. Zamula · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 4.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
1.53 G
All situations
2 G4.3
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.11 G
Power play
0 G1.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR13%87%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 4.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
28
71%
Faceoffs
29%
1/1
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
13
Hits
23
4
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000030.04010—24:21
8B. BurnsD000+120.05000—23:26
76B. SkjeiD000-230.06104—20:14
5J. ChatfieldD000000.00000—19:32
20S. AhoC000040.340107118:38
11J. StaalC000020.140027917:31
24S. JarvisR000000.001007017:03
77T. DeAngeloD000020.07100—16:50
71J. FastR000000.00100—16:04
48J. MartinookL000030.08100—15:43
7D. OrlovD011+100.00200—15:11
37A. SvechnikovR011000.02202—14:16
86T. TeravainenC101+120.230006713:47
58M. BuntingL112010.03110—13:25
88M. NecasC000-130.252106712:10
82J. KotkaniemiC011020.071007111:35
18J. DruryC000010.010006010:31
23S. NoesenR112040.12000—09:46
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)28262.9294.28+2.2860:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).