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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

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Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Florida Panthers 9-3. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alec Martinez's goal at 10:28 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 6.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were FLA 35, VGK 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 23 of 31 (.742), 3.0 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Stone (3 G), 2. Jack Eichel (3 A), 3. Alec Martinez (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Stone3 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel3 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Martinez1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0816221335
VGKVGK21141437932

Scoring

12 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    M. Stone(9)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    11:52
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.57win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:41

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:15
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    10:28
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.22win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:13
  4. VGK
    snapxG 0.16win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    17:15
  5. VGK
    wristxG 0.63win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    19:58

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.07
    1-7
    8:22
  2. FLA
    slapxG 0.05
    2-7
    8:47
  3. FLA
    slapxG 0.03
    3-7
    11:39
  4. VGK
    M. Stone(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.55
    3-8
    14:06
  5. VGK
    wristxG 0.38
    3-9
    18:58

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:53FLAAaron Ekblad · Interferencedrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 10:38VGKKeegan Kolesar · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Alec Martinez, 2nd 10:28 — VGK 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.63N. Hague · Goal · xG 0.57M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.55M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.50M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.48N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.38M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.24J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.22R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.22S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.20J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.18M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.14B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.13J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.07M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.07S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.03B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.01
VGK9 G · 6.5 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
2.33 G
All situations
8 G6.5
2.13 G
Even strength
7 G4.5
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA14%86%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.24 – 4.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
35
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
27
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
26
14
Giveaways
23
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD011+110.03200—24:15
62B. MontourD011-300.03100—22:57
13S. ReinhartC112-130.162003321:35
5A. EkbladD101+110.02302—21:01
9S. BennettC112-160.283006220:35
15A. LundellC000-220.08010020:00
16A. BarkovC000-310.092004319:05
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.2200010018:08
21N. CousinsC011+130.2031010018:01
18M. StaalD000010.02110—16:52
7R. GudasD000-420.09530—16:48
28J. MahuraD000-520.02010—16:34
12E. StaalC000030.191003816:19
94R. LombergL000-140.53300—14:40
10A. DuclairL000-130.23010—13:48
22Z. DalpeC000-500.00120006:11
6C. WhiteC000-400.000203306:03
14G. DenisenkoL000-300.07000—05:57
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)31238.7424.97-3.0359:11

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).