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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV TNT, TBS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Florida Panthers 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Whitecloud's goal at 6:59 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 35, VGK 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 29 of 33 (.879); Adin Hill stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Zach Whitecloud (1 G), 2. Mark Stone (1 G), 3. Adin Hill (33 saves, .943).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    Z. Whitecloud1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    M. Stone1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill33 saves, .943

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA19114012235
VGKVGK17114313534

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Staal(2)SHG
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    9:40
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    17:18

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.04win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    10:54
  2. FLA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.01win prob +28 pts
    2-3
    6:59
  2. VGK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.25win prob +11 pts
    2-4
    13:41
  3. VGK
    wristxG 0.54
    2-5
    18:15

Penalties

FLA 46 PIM·VGK 18 PIM

1st

  • 8:30FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Adin Hill2 min
  • 11:42VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:27FLAJosh Mahura · Interferencedrawn by William Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 3:28FLAJosh Mahura · Trippingdrawn by Keegan Kolesar2 min
  • 14:40VGKShea Theodore · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min

3rd

  • 7:12VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 10:04FLAEric Staal · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:41FLAserved by Z. Dalpe · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 15:36FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 15:36FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 15:36FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:36VGKChandler Stephenson · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 15:36VGKChandler Stephenson · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:36FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min
  • 15:36FLASam Bennett · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:15FLARadko Gudas · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Whitecloud, 3rd 6:59 — VGK 52% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Smith · Goal · xG 0.54M. Stone · Goal · xG 0.25M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.20J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.18B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.17I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.16W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.12J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.12N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.11R. Smith · Missed · xG 0.10J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.08W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.08N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.07B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.07M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Goal · xG 0.01K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK5 G · 4.2 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
2.42 G
All situations
4 G4.2
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.5
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 102 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA29%71%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.34 – 3.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
35
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
2/7
46
Penalty minutes
18
36
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
16
13
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000+130.10020—25:59
42G. ForslingD000010.01000—24:40
5A. EkbladD000020.21210—23:46
16A. BarkovC000-120.246105622:02
13S. ReinhartC000030.272204521:09
18M. StaalD000-110.00500—18:46
19M. TkachukL000-120.163014—18:37
9S. BennettC000-130.2340122318:12
15A. LundellC011+140.181005016:44
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.22100016:44
21N. CousinsC000-140.45312015:10
10A. DuclairL101-110.02010—12:06
12E. StaalC101+110.0620210012:05
28J. MahuraD000-120.07104—11:34
7R. GudasD000-110.022110—11:30
94R. LombergL000010.10400—07:35
6C. WhiteC000010.050105006:25
22Z. DalpeC000000.01010005:40
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)33294.8793.65-0.3559:46

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).