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Panthers at Golden Knights
NHL

Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV TNT, TBS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Florida Panthers 7-2. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alec Martinez's goal at 17:59 of the first period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 67% to 83%. Expected goals were close — FLA 3.1, VGK 3.0; shots on goal were FLA 31, VGK 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 12 of 15 (.800), 1.4 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ivan Barbashev (1 A), 3. Brett Howden (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev1 A
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. Howden2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01001328231
VGKVGK21127310728

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:05
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    17:59

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    2:59
  2. VGK
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    7:10

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.27win prob +2 pts
    1-4
    0:14
  2. VGK
    wristxG 0.20win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    2:10
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.12
    1-6
    10:33
  4. FLA
    wristxG 0.12
    2-6
    12:44
  5. VGK
    B. Howden(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.12
    2-7
    17:52

Penalties

FLA 84 PIM·VGK 64 PIM

1st

  • 6:39FLARyan Lomberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 13:53FLABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 15:38VGKNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min

2nd

  • 7:59VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 7:59FLAColin White · Slashingdrawn by Adin Hill2 min
  • 10:01VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Interferencedrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 12:35VGKWilliam Carrier · Roughingdrawn by Marc Staal2 min
  • 17:56VGKAlex Pietrangelo · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 17:56FLAGustav Forsling · Roughingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 17:56FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 17:56VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 17:56FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 17:56VGKIvan Barbashev · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 3:01FLACarter Verhaeghe · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 14:01FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:14FLACasey Fitzgerald · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:14VGKKeegan Kolesar · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:28FLAAnthony Duclair · Cross checkingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 16:28FLAAnthony Duclair · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:28FLAEric Staal · Abuse of officials10 min
  • 18:41FLANick Cousins · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:41VGKZach Whitecloud · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:52VGKReilly Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 19:52VGKReilly Smith · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:52FLASam Reinhart · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:52VGKBrett Howden · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalFLA goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Alec Martinez, 1st 17:59 — VGK 67% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.21R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.20J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.20W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14A. Martinez · Goal · xG 0.13I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.12C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.12B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.12M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.12R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.10M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.09N. Roy · Goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.07B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.07B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.07A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.05K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.04C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.00C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK7 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVGK
3.12 G
All situations
7 G3.0
1.82 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
1.20 G
Power play
2 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA50%50%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.99

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVGK
31
Shots on goal
28
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
2/4
84
Penalty minutes
64
44
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
20
6
Giveaways
12
11
Takeaways
22

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
62B. MontourD000-150.20222—26:13
5A. EkbladD000-100.09110—21:39
42G. ForslingD000-230.22122—21:02
13S. ReinhartC000-200.1511105019:57
9S. BennettC011-140.236104418:53
23C. VerhaegheC000-230.37512018:41
15A. LundellC101-130.441005018:39
18M. StaalD000000.02110—18:27
16A. BarkovC000+130.353104418:21
28J. MahuraD011-210.03000—16:54
19M. TkachukL101040.673022—15:57
94R. LombergL000020.13602—15:19
12E. StaalC000-200.0000104313:24
21N. CousinsC000-110.03401010013:08
10A. DuclairL011020.152012—12:47
4C. FitzgeraldD000000.003110—10:41
6C. WhiteC000-100.0030210009:57
7R. GudasD000000.00200—02:11
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon15123.8001.61-1.3932:50
72S. Bobrovsky(L)1394.6921.38-2.6227:10

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).