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Golden Knights at Panthers
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Florida Panthers

Final/OTTV TNT, TBS·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in overtime, Carter Verhaeghe scoring at 4:27. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 4:27 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were VGK 27, FLA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 20 of 23 (.870); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (25 saves, .926), 3. Adin Hill (20 saves, .870).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    A. Hill20 saves, .870

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK161130602227
FLAFLA15081911323

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:08
  2. VGK
    M. Stone(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    16:03

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel (17), M. Stone (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:59

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.20win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    17:47

Overtime

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.03win prob +48 pts
    2-3
    4:27

Penalties

VGK 14 PIM·FLA 16 PIM

1st

  • 6:01VGKWilliam Carrier · High stickingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 12:14FLAMarc Staal · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 15:17VGKWilliam Carrier · Boardingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 15:17FLARadko Gudas · Cross checkingdrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 15:40FLAAnthony Duclair · Trippingdrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min

2nd

  • 0:24VGKWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Colin White2 min
  • 4:56FLAAaron Ekblad · Holdingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 8:00VGKBrayden McNabb · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Duclair2 min
  • 14:13FLAAleksander Barkov · Interferencedrawn by Zach Whitecloud2 min
  • 16:26VGKAlec Martinez · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 19:22FLAAnton Lundell · Slashingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min

3rd

  • 7:22VGKJack Eichel · Hookingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 10:37VGKIvan Barbashev · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 10:37FLARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:48FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalVGK goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, OT 4:27 — FLA 52% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. White · On goal · xG 0.30A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.21S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.20M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.20A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.16S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.15C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.10E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.10M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.09E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.05S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.04S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · Goal · xG 0.04Z. Dalpe · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsFLA
3.82 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.70 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
1.02 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK65%35%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.76 – 2.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsFLA
27
Shots on goal
23
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/6
Power play
0/5
14
Penalty minutes
16
18
Hits
14
31
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
24
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000010.03120—23:42
9J. EichelC011030.261323321:52
61M. StoneR112-330.33010—21:35
20C. StephensonC000-340.750006720:49
27S. TheodoreD011010.03030—20:42
81J. MarchessaultR112020.23100—20:40
14N. HagueD000-310.09220—20:24
2Z. WhitecloudD000-310.03130—20:03
3B. McNabbD000010.12072—19:51
71W. KarlssonC000030.331104017:13
23A. MartinezD000000.02202—16:36
49I. BarbashevL000010.201126016:00
19R. SmithR000000.10110—15:35
10N. RoyC000030.372305814:57
21B. HowdenC000-310.57120013:30
28W. CarrierL000000.08316—08:51
55K. KolesarR000010.12110—08:01
22M. AmadioR000010.16000—07:54
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)23203.8702.83-0.1764:27

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).