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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/OTTV TBS, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, Carter Verhaeghe scoring at 2:46. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 2:46 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 2.2; shots on goal were FLA 31, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Ilya Samsonov stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (1 G), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA081142712431
WSHWSH0131921302337

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(1)
    G. Hathaway (1), J. Larsson (2)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:44
  2. FLA
    R. Lomberg(1)
    P. Hornqvist (1), E. Luostarinen (1)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    6:13

3rd period

  1. WSH
    N. Backstrom(2)
    J. Schultz (2), T. van Riemsdyk (1)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +24 pts
    1-2
    1:37
  2. FLA
    C. Giroux(3)
    A. Ekblad (4), C. Verhaeghe (6)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:18
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(2)
    C. Giroux (3), M. Weegar (1)
    wristxG 0.36win prob +39 pts
    3-2
    14:17
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(6)PPG
    A. Mantha (4), E. Kuznetsov (3)
    deflectedxG 0.20win prob +43 pts
    3-3
    18:57

Overtime

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(6)
    C. Giroux (4), B. Chiarot (1)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    2:46

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:50WSHNick Jensen · Holdingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:57FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 8:21FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 12:18WSHJustin Schultz · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 12:18FLARyan Lomberg · Embellishment2 min
  • 15:24WSHNicklas Backstrom · Hookingdrawn by Maxim Mamin2 min

3rd

  • 3:24FLABen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 18:51FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, OT 2:46 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.38N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.37T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.20C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.16N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.16N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.09N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.08N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.04A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.03C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
2.24 G
All situations
3 G3.2
2.04 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA35%65%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 3.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
1/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
50
Hits
51
19
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16A. BarkovC101+210.421104326:33
42G. ForslingD000+120.07312—25:51
52M. WeegarD011050.15310—24:29
8B. ChiarotD011+210.10442—22:13
13S. ReinhartC000020.143403321:05
5A. EkbladD011+320.08110—20:34
11J. HuberdeauL000030.11300—20:22
9S. BennettC000000.134046718:30
23C. VerhaegheC112+220.27210018:29
28C. GirouxR123+220.073005518:02
7R. GudasD000-110.04420—14:54
27E. LuostarinenC011+100.001103014:52
62B. MontourD000-120.15310—12:25
70P. HornqvistR011+140.12310—12:15
94R. LombergL101+130.38612—12:15
98M. MaminC000-110.01300007:46
55N. AcciariC000-100.003007507:38
15A. LundellC000-100.0000010007:31
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)37343.9193.19+0.1962:46

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).