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Panthers at Capitals
NHL

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
Final/OTTV TBS, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Carter Verhaeghe scoring at 4:57. The Capitals scored first; the Panthers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 4:57 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 32, WSH 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.6 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 29 of 32 (.906). Three stars: 1. Sam Reinhart (1 G), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (14 saves, .875), 3. Ilya Samsonov (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky14 saves, .875
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Samsonov29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA1110121712332
WSHWSH17041500216

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(3)PPG
    J. Carlson (3), N. Backstrom (4)
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    7:15
  2. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(2)
    A. Ekblad (2)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    14:08

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(2)
    A. Ovechkin (4), T. Oshie (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +31 pts
    1-2
    9:31
  2. FLA
    S. Reinhart(1)
    J. Huberdeau (2), A. Barkov (2)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +41 pts
    2-2
    17:56

Overtime

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(3)
    S. Bennett (1), A. Ekblad (3)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +52 pts
    3-2
    4:57

Penalties

FLA 14 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:31WSHGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 0:31FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 2:47FLASam Reinhart · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 7:01FLASam Bennett · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 13:11WSHAnthony Mantha · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 13:11FLAJonathan Huberdeau · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 15:10WSHJustin Schultz · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min

2nd

  • 0:12FLABen Chiarot · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 4:40WSHMartin Fehérváry · Hookingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 7:05WSHMartin Fehérváry · High stickingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
  • 10:42WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:55FLABrandon Montour · Hookingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 15:12FLASergei Bobrovsky · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalFLA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, OT 4:57 — FLA 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.38M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.20J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.17G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.10L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.05N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.05N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.01J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.01C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 1.8 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsWSH
2.93 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.93 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA77%23%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsWSH
32
Shots on goal
16
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
1/5
14
Penalty minutes
12
46
Hits
56
10
Blocked shots
24
6
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD022+120.12122—27:51
52M. WeegarD000020.07410—24:33
16A. BarkovC011+140.203005624:07
11J. HuberdeauL011+120.50402—23:30
42G. ForslingD000020.08210—22:34
9S. BennettC011+160.335024319:22
28C. GirouxR000+100.010006018:40
17M. MarchmentL000000.01400—18:00
13S. ReinhartC101+120.342023317:50
23C. VerhaegheC202+250.87300017:31
8B. ChiarotD000+130.13332—16:48
62B. MontourD000010.01102—14:29
15A. LundellC000000.0030010012:50
27E. LuostarinenC000010.0311010012:36
7R. GudasD000+100.00420—11:53
55N. AcciariC000010.02500010:53
70P. HornqvistR000000.05100—10:21
10A. DuclairL000010.16000—09:48
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)16142.8751.44-0.5663:52

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).