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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Florida Panthers
▸5
FinalTV ESPN2, NBCSWA·FLA Live Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 5-3. The Panthers came back from three goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 3:04 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.9 to 3.6; shots on goal were WSH 33, FLA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 0.9 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Verhaeghe (2 G, 3 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe2 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH110210013333
FLAFLA01531528538

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(4)PPG
    J. Carlson (4), E. Kuznetsov (1)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    7:09

2nd period

  1. WSH
    J. Schultz(1)
    L. Eller (2), A. Ovechkin (5)
    snapxG 0.24win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:13
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(5)
    E. Kuznetsov (2), C. McMichael (1)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:38
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(4)
    A. Barkov (3), C. Giroux (2)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    3-1
    6:50
  4. FLA
    P. Hornqvist(1)
    C. Verhaeghe (3)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    12:27
  5. FLA
    S. Reinhart(2)
    C. Verhaeghe (4), S. Bennett (2)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    14:44

3rd period

  1. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(5)
    A. Barkov (4)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    3:04
  2. FLA
    C. Giroux(2)
    C. Verhaeghe (5), G. Forsling (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    3-5
    15:55

Penalties

WSH 11 PIM·FLA 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:17FLACarter Verhaeghe · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 12:14WSHNic Dowd · Interferencedrawn by Anton Lundell2 min
  • 15:08WSHJohn Carlson · Cross checkingdrawn by Maxim Mamin2 min

2nd

  • 15:15WSHDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 15:40FLAAleksander Barkov · High stickingdrawn by Ilya Samsonov2 min

3rd

  • 19:46FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 19:46FLAAaron Ekblad · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min
  • 19:46WSHAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 3rd 3:04 — FLA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.72C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.28S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.25C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.25P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.19J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.18A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.18C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.18J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.17C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.16A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.16B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.16S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.09C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA5 G · 4.9 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
3.63 G
All situations
5 G4.9
2.42 G
Even strength
5 G3.6
1.21 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH43%57%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 4.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
33
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
48
Hits
35
12
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-240.22202—25:58
42M. FehérváryD000-200.02810—22:57
92E. KuznetsovC022-240.451004721:35
9D. OrlovD000-100.00402—20:30
77T. OshieR202-250.56110—19:40
8A. OvechkinL011-140.27400—19:24
39A. ManthaR000-230.32215—19:15
19N. BackstromC000-110.321004718:51
3N. JensenD000-110.02100—17:06
20L. EllerC011+150.257005016:17
73C. ShearyL000+120.41000—16:00
90M. JohanssonL000-110.29220—15:52
2J. SchultzD101020.37010—14:55
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.02220—14:40
21G. HathawayR000-100.00440—11:49
26N. DowdC000-100.003026408:13
22J. LarssonL000-100.01400—07:53
24C. McMichaelL011+100.09200—06:22
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)38335.8684.14-0.8656:43

Series

FLA leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).