Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Washington Capitals beat the Florida Panthers 4-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 10:37 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 38, FLA 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Vitek Vanecek stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 37 (.919). Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G), 2. T.J. Oshie (1 G), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (34 saves, .919).
Three stars
- ★E. Kuznetsov1 G

- ★★T. Oshie1 G

- ★★★S. Bobrovsky34 saves, .919

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-03:47
1-117:55
2nd period
1-20:43
3rd period
2-28:14
3-210:37
4-219:11
Penalties
1st
- 0:49
Radko Gudas · High stickingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
- 1:48
MacKenzie Weegar · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- 11:42
Ben Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
2nd
- 8:03
Martin Fehérváry · Holdingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
- 13:26
Anthony Mantha · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
- 13:26
Mason Marchment · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
- 15:51
Johan Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Mason Marchment2 min
3rd
- 19:57
Patric Hornqvist · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
- 19:57
Nick Jensen · Cross checkingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 3rd 10:37 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.63 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.9
- 2.32 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.81 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.17 – 1.92
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 43
- Hits
- 56
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 6
- Giveaways
- 13
- 9
- Takeaways
- 14
Box score
every player line
Series
FLA leads 4-2
4@
2this game
1@
5Final
1@
6Final
3@
2OTFinal
3@
5Final
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















