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Devils at Hurricanes
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV MSG+, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 5:33 of the first period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 30, CAR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Andrew Hammond stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.3 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G, 2 A), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jordan Martinook (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11106213330
CARCAR311110215636

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    E. Bear(5)
    B. Smith (4), J. Kotkaniemi (16)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:44
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(14)
    I. Cole (17), J. Kotkaniemi (17)
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    5:33
  3. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(12)
    M. Necas (26)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    12:53
  4. NJD
    F. Zetterlund(2)
    P. Zacha (20), D. Severson (35)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    13:55

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(22)
    V. Trocheck (30)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    17:27

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Lorentz(8)
    S. Jarvis (23), S. Aho (44)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    3:14
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(6)
    B. Skjei (30), D. Stepan (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    1-6
    7:32
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(26)
    N. Foote (1), P. Zacha (21)
    wristxG 0.09
    2-6
    14:17
  4. NJD
    J. Vesey(8)
    N. Bastian (6)
    backhandxG 0.15
    3-6
    15:44

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:49NJDKevin Bahl · Slashingdrawn by Steven Lorentz2 min
  • 5:52CARserved by N. Niederreiter · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 5:15NJDNathan Bastian · Slashingdrawn by Teuvo Teravainen2 min
  • 16:30CARDerek Stepan · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:25NJDserved by N. Bastian · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 1st 5:33 — CAR 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.35J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.26V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.17S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.16D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.15S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.15B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.14S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.12M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.09S. Lorentz · Goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.08S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.06E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.06T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.02M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.02M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · Goal · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 3.4 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
2.93 G
All situations
6 G3.4
2.83 G
Even strength
6 G2.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
36
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
14
4
Giveaways
8
11
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. HamiltonD000020.17000—21:28
28D. SeversonD011+100.00120—21:27
33R. GravesD000+110.14200—19:30
82N. OkhotiukD000-300.04300—18:59
24T. SmithD000-320.07110—18:44
37P. ZachaC022+110.110007518:25
88K. BahlD000-210.02032—17:54
49F. ZetterlundL101060.68100—16:34
10A. HoltzR000-210.05100—16:03
63J. BrattL101-130.28020—15:51
70J. BoqvistC000-230.370102215:46
18D. MercerC000-200.001003315:26
59J. KuokkanenC000-200.00010015:09
17Y. SharangovichC000-230.210003313:28
16J. VeseyL101030.3910010013:01
25N. FooteL011+120.17200—12:50
20M. McLeodC000010.144006912:47
14N. BastianR011010.01202—12:05
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Hammond(L)30246.8002.72-3.2847:32
32J. Gillies6601.0000.64+0.6412:28

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).