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Hurricanes at Devils
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
4
New Jersey Devils
▸7
FinalTV MSG+, BSSO·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 7-4. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Devils led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 18:19 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 32, NJD 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Jack LaFontaine stopped 31 of 38 (.816), 4.5 goals below expected; Jon Gillies stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan Bastian (2 G), 2. Andreas Johnsson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan Graves (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Bastian2 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    A. Johnsson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    R. Graves3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR21028014432
NJDNJD213311214738

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(14)
    V. Trocheck (18), B. Smith (2)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:20
  2. CAR
    I. Cole(2)
    M. Necas (14), A. Svechnikov (20)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:44
  3. NJD
    N. Bastian(7)
    R. Graves (11), J. Kuokkanen (4)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    17:26
  4. NJD
    N. Bastian(8)
    R. Graves (12), M. McLeod (8)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    19:06

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Leivo(1)
    J. Kotkaniemi (10), T. DeAngelo (25)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    3:25
  2. NJD
    M. McLeod(3)
    A. Johnsson (13), P. Subban (13)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 pts
    3-3
    8:47
  3. NJD
    A. Johnsson(10)
    D. Mercer (12), P. Zacha (8)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +19 pts
    3-4
    11:16
  4. CAR
    B. Skjei(6)
    D. Stepan (6), J. Leivo (2)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +21 pts
    4-4
    15:34
  5. NJD
    J. Bratt(11)
    Y. Sharangovich (8), R. Graves (13)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +22 pts
    4-5
    18:19

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(10)PPG
    D. Severson (11), N. Hischier (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    4-6
    12:51
  2. NJD
    P. Zacha(10)
    D. Mercer (13), A. Johnsson (14)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +2 pts
    4-7
    13:55

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

2nd

  • 6:04CARIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 12:53NJDTomas Tatar · Hookingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

3rd

  • 11:51CARIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Janne Kuokkanen2 min
  • 19:55CARJosh Leivo · High stickingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalCAR goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 2nd 18:19 — NJD 53% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.20A. Johnsson · Goal · xG 0.17A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.17N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.16Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.14J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.13M. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.11J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.07A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bastian · Goal · xG 0.06Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jaros · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.04D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.04M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kuokkanen · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jaros · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD7 G · 2.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsNJD
1.64 G
All situations
7 G2.5
1.44 G
Even strength
6 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR32%68%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsNJD
32
Shots on goal
38
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
31
Hits
35
12
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
25
13
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22B. PesceD000010.04120—23:16
74J. SlavinD000-230.19110—23:13
76B. SkjeiD101040.09200—22:27
77T. DeAngeloD011-250.20320—21:43
16V. TrocheckC011+110.033005817:33
37A. SvechnikovR112030.05100—17:21
20S. AhoC000-200.000005016:54
88M. NecasC011+120.1810010016:09
11J. StaalC000-120.037105816:05
24S. JarvisR000-210.03200—15:40
78S. LorentzC000-210.07100015:39
21N. NiederreiterR000-100.00200—14:56
7B. SmithD011020.08210—14:14
28I. ColeD101020.05114—13:42
71J. FastR000-120.24120—13:37
82J. KotkaniemiC011000.103104012:39
18D. StepanC011020.100107312:04
41J. LeivoL112+110.13002—09:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80J. LaFontaine(L)38317.8162.52-4.4860:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).