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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

FinalTV MSG+, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 2-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Boqvist's goal at 17:26 of the first period, which took the Devils' chances from 18% to 32%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 3.5; shots on goal were NJD 25, CAR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (24 saves, .960), 2. Jordan Martinook (1 G), 3. Jaccob Slavin.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Raanta24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Martinook1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Slavin

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11001203125
CARCAR2607010223

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    S. Jarvis (10), B. Skjei (11)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    8:02
  2. CAR
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:22
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.26win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    17:26

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·CAR 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:15CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Andreas Johnsson2 min
  • 19:53CARNino Niederreiter · High stickingdrawn by P.K. Subban2 min

2nd

  • 18:05NJDYegor Sharangovich · Trippingdrawn by Brett Pesce2 min

3rd

  • 10:22CARNino Niederreiter · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Graves2 min
  • 10:22NJDNathan Bastian · Slashingdrawn by Nino Niederreiter2 min
  • 13:38NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Slashingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Jesper Boqvist, 1st 17:26 — NJD 18% → 32%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.71A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.23M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.21J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.18S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.16S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.15J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.15A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.14B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.12N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.12M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.11N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.10T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.05S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.05J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01
CAR2 G · 3.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
3.51 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.91 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD58%42%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.45 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
25
Shots on goal
23
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
42
14
Blocked shots
16
10
Giveaways
23
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD000020.12220—27:16
71J. SiegenthalerD000030.05002—22:01
33R. GravesD000000.03130—21:08
86J. HughesC000010.290003819:52
13N. HischierC000010.110506119:47
14N. BastianR000020.44622—19:40
63J. BrattL000030.30000—19:06
76P. SubbanD000000.00100—18:46
17Y. SharangovichC000020.150027117:12
24T. SmithD000-110.01000—15:39
37P. ZachaC000010.38100014:36
18D. MercerC000-110.551004013:36
59J. KuokkanenC011010.020003312:05
90T. TatarL000-100.00000—12:02
16J. VeseyL011010.00600—11:36
2C. WhiteD000-100.04320—11:06
11A. JohnssonL000-130.40000—10:58
70J. BoqvistC101030.560005009:53
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(L)23212.9133.01+1.0157:41

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).