Carolina Hurricanes at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-2 in overtime, Seth Jarvis scoring at 1:39. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. The Devils led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 1:39 of overtime, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.6 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 29, NJD 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Jon Gillies stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (1 G), 2. Jon Gillies (26 saves, .897), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Jarvis1 G

- ★★J. Gillies26 saves, .897

- ★★★N. Hischier1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals2nd period
0-115:43
3rd period
0-28:30
1-215:24
2-218:04
Overtime
3-21:39
Penalties
1st
- 15:39
Vincent Trocheck · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Okhotiuk2 min
2nd
- 6:50
P.K. Subban · Interferencedrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
- 14:20
served by A. Svechnikov · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 15:45
Michael McLeod · Delaying game face off violation2 min
3rd
- 6:03
Max Domi · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Okhotiuk2 min
- 6:03
Nikita Okhotiuk · Roughingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
- 11:39
Ian Cole · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Seth Jarvis, OT 1:39 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.63 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.6
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.2
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 1.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 29
- Shots on goal
- 19
- 53%
- Faceoffs
- 47%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 19
- Hits
- 14
- 10
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 5
- Giveaways
- 9
- 9
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















