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Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV ESPN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 9-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Fehérváry's goal at 13:16 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were PHI 21, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 21 of 27 (.778), 3.8 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Lars Eller (2 G), 2. Johan Larsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Matt Irwin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Eller2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Larsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    M. Irwin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI180716221
WSHWSH310214413937

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:01
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    11:24
  3. PHI
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:00
  4. WSH
    N. Dowd (11), G. Hathaway (12)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    13:16

2nd period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    6:39
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    15:30

3rd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.03
    1-6
    3:31
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.09
    1-7
    5:59
  3. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.08
    1-8
    12:42
  4. PHI
    K. Hayes (19), B. Brink (1)
    deflectedxG 0.12
    2-8
    16:26
  5. WSH
    J. Schultz (16), N. Dowd (12)
    tip-inxG 0.14
    2-9
    17:32

Penalties

PHI 28 PIM·WSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 14:00PHIRasmus Ristolainen · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 17:45WSHTom Wilson · Boardingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

3rd

  • 9:05PHICam York · Slashingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 13:43PHIJoel Farabee · Hookingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 13:43PHIJoel Farabee · Cross checkingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 13:43PHIJoel Farabee · Misconductdrawn by Conor Sheary10 min
  • 13:43WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Misconductdrawn by Travis Konecny10 min
  • 13:43PHITravis Konecny · Misconductdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov10 min
  • 14:40WSHJustin Schultz · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Brown2 min
  • 15:00WSHT.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPHI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Fehérváry, 1st 13:16 — WSH 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.21J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.20N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.17J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.16C. Sheary · Goal · xG 0.15J. Larsson · Goal · xG 0.14J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.13A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.13M. Fehérváry · Goal · xG 0.12A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.09L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · Goal · xG 0.08N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03M. Irwin · Goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.00M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH9 G · 3.2 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsWSH
1.62 G
All situations
9 G3.2
1.31 G
Even strength
8 G2.5
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI24%76%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 3.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsWSH
21
Shots on goal
37
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/4
28
Penalty minutes
16
24
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000+100.00270—23:43
9I. ProvorovD000-310.04200—23:17
70R. RistolainenD000010.05102—21:28
45C. YorkD000-220.03012—19:42
13K. HayesR011-440.340003117:58
25J. van RiemsdykL202+120.25010—17:27
21S. LaughtonC000-200.004003816:44
48M. FrostC000+100.130104015:51
8K. ConnautonD000-510.01400—15:24
74O. TippettR000-210.01000—15:10
11T. KonecnyR000010.140110—14:55
86J. FarabeeL000-400.001014—14:54
38P. BrownC000-410.182007114:31
46B. BrinkR011020.20220—14:27
49N. CatesL000-210.07200—14:19
44N. ThompsonC000-410.021106413:49
47R. AttardD000-510.14300—13:24
89C. AtkinsonR000-120.05010—05:08
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35M. Jones27216.7782.22-3.7840:00
79C. Hart(L)1073.7000.96-2.0420:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).