Skip to content
Capitals at Flyers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Philadelphia Flyers
3
FinalTV NBCSWA, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Garnet Hathaway's goal at 18:48 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.7, PHI 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 25, PHI 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Martin Jones stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Garnet Hathaway (2 G, 1 A), 2. Gerry Mayhew (2 G), 3. Carl Hagelin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    G. Hathaway2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    G. Mayhew2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Hagelin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1816311525
PHIPHI011212110333

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    M. Kempny(1)
    N. Dowd (7), G. Hathaway (9)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    18:35

2nd period

  1. PHI
    G. Mayhew(4)PPG
    O. Lindblom (11), I. Ratcliffe (2)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:54
  2. WSH
    J. Snively(4)PPG
    C. Sheary (12), D. Orlov (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +20 pts
    2-1
    12:49
  3. PHI
    T. Sanheim(4)
    T. Konecny (21), C. Giroux (22)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +23 pts
    2-2
    19:01

3rd period

  1. PHI
    G. Mayhew(5)
    T. Sanheim (13), J. Braun (9)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    16:09
  2. WSH
    G. Hathaway(9)
    J. Carlson (30), C. Hagelin (10)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +42 pts
    3-3
    17:03
  3. WSH
    G. Hathaway(10)
    C. Hagelin (11)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +48 pts
    4-3
    18:48
  4. WSH
    J. Carlson(10)EN
    N. Dowd (8)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:11

Penalties

WSH 25 PIM·PHI 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:41WSHMichal Kempny · Trippingdrawn by Max Willman2 min

2nd

  • 7:37PHIScott Laughton · Fightingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk5 min
  • 7:37WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Fightingdrawn by Scott Laughton5 min
  • 7:37WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Instigatordrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 7:37WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 9:57PHIIsaac Ratcliffe · Interferencedrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 11:12PHICam Atkinson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 7:49WSHMichal Kempny · Holdingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min
  • 8:10WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 10:30PHIScott Laughton · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 14:02PHIKeith Yandle · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:02WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Keith Yandle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Garnet Hathaway, 3rd 18:48 — WSH 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.21G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.20J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.17M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.16G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.12I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12G. Mayhew · Goal · xG 0.12T. Sanheim · Goal · xG 0.10S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.10M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.09C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.09G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.08J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · Missed · xG 0.07I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.07Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04I. Ratcliffe · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03G. Mayhew · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01Z. MacEwen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI3 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.74 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH43%57%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
25
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/4
25
Penalty minutes
13
14
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
7
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD112+230.43010—25:58
3N. JensenD000+100.00030—20:25
42M. FehérváryD000+210.01340—20:05
92E. KuznetsovC000010.161002920:02
8A. OvechkinL000020.33000—19:47
9D. OrlovD011020.03200—19:39
43T. WilsonR000-210.2031210018:55
6M. KempnyD101020.05104—16:29
26N. DowdC022+310.030323316:26
19N. BackstromC000-210.050002915:48
91J. SnivelyC101-130.67000014:48
73C. ShearyL011010.09110—14:19
21G. HathawayR213+440.41010—13:40
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.000117—12:31
62C. HagelinL022+410.11000—12:28
20L. EllerC000000.031007311:32
24C. McMichaelL000000.00100—09:05
49B. LeasonR000020.16100—08:46
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(W)33303.9092.74-0.2660:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).