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Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NHLN, NBCSWA·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Washington Capitals 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was T.J. Oshie's goal at 6:53 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 18% to 30%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.2, PHI 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 28, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Ilya Samsonov stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.5 goals below expected; Carter Hart stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. T.J. Oshie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Atkinson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0911108128
PHIPHI2140404222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:11
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    0-2
    18:38

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(6)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    6:53

Penalties

WSH 9 PIM·PHI 11 PIM

1st

  • 0:30PHIIsaac Ratcliffe · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 16:30PHIZack MacEwen · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 16:30WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Zack MacEwen5 min
  • 16:30PHIZack MacEwen · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min

2nd

  • 6:39PHIIsaac Ratcliffe · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 11:20WSHNic Dowd · Roughingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
  • 12:31WSHMartin Fehérváry · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalWSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: T.J. Oshie, 2nd 6:53 — WSH 18% → 30%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.50C. Atkinson · Goal · xG 0.16G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.15C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.14R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.09S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.06G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.04G. Mayhew · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ratcliffe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Brown · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPHI
2.21 G
All situations
2 G2.0
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH65%35%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 1.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPHI
28
Shots on goal
22
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
30
Hits
21
19
Blocked shots
16
7
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-120.14020—24:56
3N. JensenD000000.09120—21:06
8A. OvechkinL000-220.09500—20:23
19N. BackstromC011040.080003320:21
9D. OrlovD000-120.04210—20:04
77T. OshieR101040.431205019:14
92E. KuznetsovC011-140.540004418:39
73C. ShearyL000-230.22110—18:26
42M. FehérváryD000-100.00222—17:32
43T. WilsonR000010.04705—17:18
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.00050—16:29
91J. SnivelyC000-120.29010013:38
20L. EllerC000-100.001003613:24
6M. KempnyD000010.07020—12:58
62C. HagelinL000020.01210—12:17
26N. DowdC000000.003025012:15
21G. HathawayR000000.18300—09:27
24C. McMichaelL000010.02200—09:26
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Samsonov(L)22202.9091.48-0.5257:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).