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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

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Dallas Stars
1
St. Louis Blues
▸2
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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Stars scored first; the Blues answered. The Stars led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan O'Reilly's goal at 19:13 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 7% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were DAL 27, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G), 3. Jordan Binnington (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0711208127
STLSTL01005216231

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(12)
    J. Pavelski (17), M. Heiskanen (17)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-0
    9:13

3rd period

  1. STL
    R. O'Reilly(6)PPG
    T. Krug (14), J. Kyrou (22)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +44 pts
    1-1
    19:13
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(14)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (21)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +43 pts
    1-2
    19:31

Penalties

DAL 10 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:26DALMiro Heiskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:55STLNiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min
  • 11:24DALJohn Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 15:30DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 19:34STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min

3rd

  • 14:59STLDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 18:08DALJani Hakanpää · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 19:13DALMiro Heiskanen · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan O'Reilly, 3rd 19:13 — STL 7% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.29B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.21R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.21C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.19D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.12J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.09L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.08C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05L. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.00T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.41 G
All situations
2 G3.4
1.71 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL33%67%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 3.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/3
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
21
14
Blocked shots
7
8
Giveaways
7
17
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4M. HeiskanenD011+100.03024—23:08
20R. SuterD000+110.03000—22:43
23E. LindellD000010.01220—22:06
3J. KlingbergD000030.29002—19:55
16J. PavelskiC011+150.472107518:41
21J. RobertsonL101+130.30410—18:21
2J. HakanpääD000000.00132—17:36
24R. HintzC000+120.240106317:25
14J. BennL000020.374023317:12
47A. RadulovR000000.06010—15:05
34D. GurianovR000010.03110—15:01
12R. FaksaC000020.231102914:53
91T. SeguinC000000.002007513:57
11L. GlendeningC000020.080006313:43
18M. RafflL000010.05000—13:30
5A. SekeraD000010.01000—10:42
40J. PetersonC000020.150004310:28
25J. KivirantaL000010.04010—08:40
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)31292.9353.38+1.3859:31

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).