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Stars at Blues
NHL

Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Brown's goal at 3:35 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were DAL 27, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Charlie Lindgren stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (26 saves, .963), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    C. Lindgren26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0609112127
STLSTL09212213434

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    L. Brown(3)
    C. Parayko (12), R. O'Reilly (13)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    3:35
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(10)
    P. Buchnevich (15), I. Barbashev (12)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    19:49

3rd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(9)
    J. Klingberg (11), J. Pavelski (13)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    12:11
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(11)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (16), T. Krug (10)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    15:37
  3. STL
    I. Barbashev(11)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.78
    1-4
    17:17

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:36DALJamie Benn · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 8:53STLNiko Mikkola · Cross checkingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 15:22STLMarco Scandella · Trippingdrawn by Denis Gurianov2 min

3rd

  • 5:31STLDakota Joshua · Holdingdrawn by Jacob Peterson2 min
  • 6:16DALAlexander Radulov · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Pavel Buchnevich0 min
  • 14:25DALLuke Glendening · Hookingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalDAL goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Brown, 2nd 3:35 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.78P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.41P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.34L. Brown · Goal · xG 0.30I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.21B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.18V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.17B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.16V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.14L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.06N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.06O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04L. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.00R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.00I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 4.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSTL
2.51 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.11 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL37%63%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSTL
27
Shots on goal
34
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
38
8
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
14
10
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-120.11010—24:32
2J. HakanpääD000030.22620—23:45
23E. LindellD000020.01220—22:26
20R. SuterD000-230.04110—22:17
47A. RadulovR000-220.16100—20:13
91T. SeguinC000-320.200003317:51
14J. BennL000-210.371026317:26
21J. RobertsonL101040.78000—16:58
24R. HintzC000010.020005716:51
16J. PavelskiC011+100.003102516:08
12R. FaksaC000010.001105014:54
55T. HarleyD000000.01000—14:20
11L. GlendeningC000020.162028314:00
18M. RafflL000000.00100—12:45
40J. PetersonC000-100.00000011:41
34D. GurianovR000030.20000—10:59
27R. TufteL000010.22100—10:56
44J. HanleyD000-100.00300—09:04
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(L)33303.9093.26+0.2659:42

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).