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Blues at Stars
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Dallas Stars
▸4
FinalTV BSSW, BSMW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 3:55 of the third period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 36, DAL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jake Oettinger stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Roope Hintz (2 G), 2. Michael Raffl (2 A), 3. Jordan Binnington (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    M. Raffl2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Binnington29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL011112013136
DALDAL01321624433

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Suter(3)PPG
    D. Gurianov (3), J. Benn (4)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:16
  2. DAL
    R. Hintz(4)SHG
    M. Raffl (3), E. Lindell (4)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +18 pts
    0-2
    10:39
  3. STL
    B. Saad(7)PPG
    D. Perron (9), T. Krug (7)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    12:19

3rd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(5)SHG
    M. Raffl (4)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    1-3
    3:55
  2. DAL
    J. Benn(5)EN
    J. Pavelski (6), E. Lindell (5)
    backhandxG 0.36
    1-4
    18:31

Penalties

STL 8 PIM·DAL 12 PIM

1st

  • 9:03STLTorey Krug · Holdingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 16:00DALJacob Peterson · Hookingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

2nd

  • 0:15STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 1:47STLColton Parayko · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by Alexander Radulov0 min
  • 5:11STLVladimir Tarasenko · Trippingdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min
  • 6:19DALRoope Hintz · Cross checkingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 9:19DALJason Robertson · Slashingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 12:12DALRadek Faksa · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 16:38STLTorey Krug · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min

3rd

  • 1:05DALJamie Benn · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 3:14DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalSTL goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 3rd 3:55 — DAL 72% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.39J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.36L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.32R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.23R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.22J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.21A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.21A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.14T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.11M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.08L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.06J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.04E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · Goal · xG 0.02E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01J. Hakanpää · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.00E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL4 G · 4.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsDAL
2.61 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.30 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
1.21 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsDAL
36
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
11
Hits
18
8
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000-140.08000—21:18
47T. KrugD011-110.02014—21:00
90R. O'ReillyC000-120.141005020:12
18R. ThomasC000-120.170005519:24
72J. FaulkD000010.01120—19:07
57D. PerronL011-140.26100—18:35
89P. BuchnevichL000-230.28010—18:30
48S. PerunovichD000-200.00110—18:04
20B. SaadL101-150.51100—17:27
91V. TarasenkoR000-150.42002—17:26
49I. BarbashevL000-110.00000—17:05
70O. SundqvistC000-110.022022516:26
25J. KyrouR000-230.33000—16:05
6M. ScandellaD000000.00320—15:25
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00000—14:11
81J. NealL000-130.30100—10:20
21T. BozakC000010.010105008:43
37K. KostinC000000.00000006:42
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)32293.9063.05+0.0557:55

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).