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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 16:22 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.0, NYI 1.8; shots on goal were NYR 28, NYI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 1.1 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Josh Bailey (3 A), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey3 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR01008010028
NYINYI2131804325

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey (22), N. Leddy (27)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:39
  2. NYI
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    16:22

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson (13), J. Bailey (24)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:02

Penalties

NYR 2 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:30NYIKyle Palmieri · Minordrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min

2nd

  • 7:34NYICasey Cizikas · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 10:22NYRFilip Chytil · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 1st 16:22 — NYI 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.10A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.09M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.05L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03L. Komarov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02O. Wahlstrom · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 1.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.00 G
All situations
3 G1.8
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR53%47%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
28
Shots on goal
25
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
23
Hits
27
12
Blocked shots
17
4
Giveaways
5
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-120.08000—22:30
93M. ZibanejadC000070.301005019:48
79K. MillerD000-210.03110—19:48
25L. HajekD000-100.01120—19:38
89P. BuchnevichL000020.39110—19:10
42B. SmithD000-110.03420—18:51
6Z. JonesD000-130.14110—17:41
51T. ReunanenD000010.02120—17:35
13A. LafrenièreL000000.02100—17:02
10A. PanarinL000-200.11110—16:58
24K. KakkoR000020.27010—15:15
43C. BlackwellC000010.08000015:10
16R. StromeC000-250.201004415:01
72F. ChytilC000010.100128013:54
17K. RooneyC000-110.064005013:14
74V. KravtsovR000-200.00100—12:39
47M. BarronC000-100.0010010011:56
12J. GauthierR000-110.15400—11:50
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)25223.8801.85-1.1560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).