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New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV NHLN, MSG+ 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anders Lee's goal at 3:52 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 33, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Anders Lee (2 G), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov24 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Lee2 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI310111012433
NYRNYR0901203024

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +8 pts
    1-0
    2:33
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    3:52
  3. NYI
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    13:31

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(2)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +3 pts
    4-0
    14:54

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·NYR 18 PIM

1st

  • 1:49NYRJack Johnson · Holding the stickdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 8:33NYIJosh Bailey · Holdingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 10:39NYRMika Zibanejad · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 14:23NYRserved by A. Lafrenière · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 0:04NYIMatt Martin · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 2:58NYRRyan Lindgren · Chargingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 10:50NYIMathew Barzal · High stickingdrawn by Julien Gauthier2 min
  • 14:13NYRAlexis Lafrenière · Hookingdrawn by Kieffer Bellows2 min
  • 20:00NYRBrendan Lemieux · Embellishmentdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 20:00NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

3rd

  • 1:05NYRTony DeAngelo · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 1:05NYRTony DeAngelo · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 18:33NYRMika Zibanejad · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 20:00NYIAnders Lee · Hookingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Anders Lee, 1st 3:52 — NYI 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.27B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.15C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.14M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.12J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.10F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.09A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.08R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.05R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lemieux · On goal · xG 0.01K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 2.0 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
3.34 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
1.92 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI71%29%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
24
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/8
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
18
25
Hits
24
20
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2N. LeddyD022020.08010—21:13
6R. PulockD000+120.08020—20:35
13M. BarzalC101+250.530125020:32
8N. DobsonD011+100.00130—20:13
27A. LeeL202+180.912022518:08
12J. BaileyR000030.21012—18:03
3A. PelechD000010.07040—18:03
24S. MayfieldD000+110.02100—17:56
18A. BeauvillierR011010.22100—17:50
29B. NelsonC101020.591006217:37
4A. GreeneD000+100.00140—16:48
44J. PageauC000010.102225616:38
7J. EberleR011+120.21000—15:20
15C. ClutterbuckR011+110.01400—12:41
53C. CizikasC000010.081008212:14
20K. BellowsL000010.0180010010:25
17M. MartinL000+120.11022—09:42
32R. JohnstonL000000.03300—08:02
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)242401.0002.05+2.0560:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).