New York Islanders at New York Rangers
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Wahlstrom's goal at 12:39 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 62% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 27, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock Nelson (2 A), 3. Leo Komarov (1 G).
Three stars
- ★S. Varlamov25 saves, 1.000

- ★★B. Nelson2 A

- ★★★L. Komarov1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-06:27
2-012:39
2nd period
3-01:03
3rd period
4-014:26
Penalties
1st
- 2:56
Artemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
- 10:56
Pavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
2nd
- 2:39
Oliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
- 2:39
Pavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
- 10:01
Anthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
3rd
- 12:19
Mathew Barzal · Boardingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom, 1st 12:39 — 62% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.43 G
- All situations
- 0 G1.9
- 2.02 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.7
- 0.91 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.93
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 27
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 64%
- Faceoffs
- 36%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 26
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 5
- Giveaways
- 12
- 7
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
