Skip to content

New York Islanders at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Wahlstrom's goal at 12:39 of the first period, which took the Islanders' chances from 62% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.4 to 1.9; shots on goal were NYI 27, NYR 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Igor Shesterkin stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Semyon Varlamov (25 saves, 1.000), 2. Brock Nelson (2 A), 3. Leo Komarov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    S. Varlamov25 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Nelson2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    L. Komarov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI2101918427
NYRNYR0701008025

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle (17), N. Leddy (26)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    6:27
  2. NYI
    B. Nelson (11), J. Bailey (21)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    12:39

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    1:03

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(14)EN
    wristxG 0.49
    4-0
    14:26

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:56NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 10:56NYRPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 2:39NYIOliver Wahlstrom · Roughingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 2:39NYRPavel Buchnevich · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Wahlstrom2 min
  • 10:01NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min

3rd

  • 12:19NYIMathew Barzal · Boardingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNYI goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Wahlstrom, 1st 12:39 — NYI 62% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.17M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.16K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.12R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.10P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08V. Kravtsov · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.05F. Chytil · Missed · xG 0.05K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.04A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.03B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.02V. Kravtsov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01L. Hajek · Missed · xG 0.01B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR0 G · 1.9 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNYR
3.43 G
All situations
0 G1.9
2.02 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI68%32%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNYR
27
Shots on goal
25
64%
Faceoffs
36%
1/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
26
17
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3A. PelechD000+140.07220—22:57
6R. PulockD000010.03020—21:46
24S. MayfieldD022+210.03140—21:24
2N. LeddyD011+210.04110—20:47
29B. NelsonC022+120.400205417:32
13M. BarzalC101+230.880026717:07
18A. BeauvillierR101+160.42102—16:53
7J. EberleR011+130.69010—16:35
15C. ClutterbuckR000+110.16610—16:30
4A. GreeneD000010.05010—15:37
12J. BaileyR011+100.00000—15:03
53C. CizikasC000+100.223005314:34
44J. PageauC000000.001107914:29
8N. DobsonD000+100.00000—13:59
47L. KomarovR101+110.08210—13:56
17M. MartinL000000.06410—13:06
21K. PalmieriC000010.18100012:21
26O. WahlstromR101020.10102—10:14
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(W)252501.0001.93+1.9359:25

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).