Skip to content

New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+, MSG 2·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 6-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 1:38 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 26, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.2 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 3 A), 2. Josh Bailey (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Bailey2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Pageau1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR081909126
NYINYI1112938628

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.20win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:42

2nd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    1:38
  2. NYI
    N. Dobson (10), J. Eberle (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    5:45
  3. NYR
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    11:04

3rd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:44
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    10:16
  3. NYI
    backhandxG 0.12
    1-6
    11:22

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:43NYIMathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
  • 4:53NYRRyan Lindgren · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 9:44NYRAdam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

2nd

  • 5:03NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 7:55NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 1:38 — NYI 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.44M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.32M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.30J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.20M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.19M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.17K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.16B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.14T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.12A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.12C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.12J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.12L. Komarov · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dal Colle · Missed · xG 0.09C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.08M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.07K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03J. Bailey · Goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI6 G · 3.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.91 G
All situations
6 G3.8
2.11 G
Even strength
5 G3.5
0.80 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR34%66%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
26
Shots on goal
28
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
13
16
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD000-120.07402—25:40
55R. LindgrenD000000.00212—24:31
42B. SmithD011-330.19212—23:46
79K. MillerD000-110.04040—23:33
10A. PanarinL000-200.13010—18:57
16R. StromeC000-220.170102917:58
93M. ZibanejadC000-340.621106717:08
89P. BuchnevichL000-320.07010—16:42
22A. BitettoD000-320.05310—16:25
43C. BlackwellC000-210.24110014:54
20C. KreiderL000-310.07110—14:44
17K. RooneyC101+130.244104013:59
21B. HowdenC000+120.82310013:49
24K. KakkoR000000.11000—13:45
13A. LafrenièreL000000.00000—13:05
72F. ChytilC000030.080001412:39
74V. KravtsovR011+100.00000—10:27
8J. TroubaD000000.00110—03:18
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)28226.7863.77-2.2359:58

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).