New York Rangers at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 6-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 1:38 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYR 26, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 22 of 28 (.786), 2.2 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G, 3 A), 2. Josh Bailey (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Beauvillier1 G, 3 A

- ★★J. Bailey2 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Pageau1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
0-117:42
2nd period
0-21:38
0-35:45
1-311:04
3rd period
1-47:44
1-510:16
1-611:22
Penalties
1st
- 2:43
Mathew Barzal · Trippingdrawn by Kevin Rooney2 min
- 4:53
Ryan Lindgren · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 9:44
Adam Fox · High stickingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
2nd
- 5:03
Brendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
- 7:55
Anthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 1:38 — 69% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.91 G
- All situations
- 6 G3.8
- 2.11 G
- Even strength
- 5 G3.5
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.80 – 3.77
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 35%
- Faceoffs
- 65%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 22
- Hits
- 13
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 25
- 9
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
