Rangers at Islanders 4-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

New York Rangers

▸4

New York Islanders

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New York Islanders 4-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexis Lafrenière's goal at 6:05 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.1 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 36, NYI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (2 A), 2. K'Andre Miller (1 G), 3. Alexis Lafrenière (1 G).

Three stars

★
A. Panarin2 A
★★
K. Miller1 G
★★★
A. Lafrenière1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
NYR	013	212	211	436
NYI	07	116	09	132

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

A. Lafrenière(7)
K. Kakko (5), F. Chytil (7)
wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
1-0
6:05
C. Blackwell(12)
A. Panarin (29), R. Strome (25)
wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
2-0
10:01
A. Greene(1)
M. Barzal (22)
slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
2-1
14:53

3rd period

K. Miller(4)
J. Trouba (10), A. Panarin (30)
slapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
3-1
11:48
M. Zibanejad(14)EN
Unassisted
wristxG 0.52
4-1
18:48

Penalties

2 PIM·

0 PIM

1st

10:56Mika Zibanejad · Boardingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYI

Biggest swing: Alexis Lafrenière, 2nd 6:05 — NYR 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 3.1 xG · 41 att NYI

1 G · 2.1 xG · 42 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.13 G
All situations: 1 G2.1; 2.53 G
Even strength: 1 G1.8; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

59%41%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.07

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

36
Shots on goal: 32; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/0
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 0; 12
Hits: 21; 16
Blocked shots: 10; 8
Giveaways: 11; 1
Takeaways: 1

Box score

every player line

New York Rangers skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
79K. MillerD	1	0	1	+2	3	0.21	2	2	0	—	23:53
8J. TroubaD	0	1	1	+3	1	0.01	1	5	0	—	22:34
23A. FoxD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	0	1	0	—	21:03
55R. LindgrenD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	1	1	0	—	20:21
10A. PanarinL	0	2	2	+2	4	0.19	0	0	0	—	19:21
43C. BlackwellC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.31	1	0	0	0	17:20
93M. ZibanejadC	1	0	1	+1	4	0.68	2	1	2	38	17:02
42B. SmithD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	—	16:57
16R. StromeC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	0	0	0	44	16:56
89P. BuchnevichL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	0	0	0	—	16:36
20C. KreiderL	0	0	0	+1	2	0.24	1	1	0	40	16:22
25L. HajekD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	2	0	—	15:32
72F. ChytilC	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	50	13:01
13A. LafrenièreL	1	0	1	+1	5	0.25	0	0	0	100	12:58
17K. RooneyC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	1	0	63	12:19
74V. KravtsovR	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	0	0	—	12:12
21B. HowdenC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.31	2	0	0	100	12:09
24K. KakkoR	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	11:24

New York Rangers goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40A. Georgiev(W)	32	31	1	.969	2.07	+1.07	60:00

Season series

NYI leads 6-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

New York Rangers at New York Islanders

2nd period

3rd period

1st

Box score