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Utah Mammoth at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-A PLUS, FS-W·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johan Larsson's goal at 12:53 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 67% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were ARI 23, LAK 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Antti Raanta stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Jonathan Quick stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (40 saves, .952), 2. Drew Doughty (1 G), 3. Jakob Chychrun (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Raanta40 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0731204323
LAKLAK011113118242

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    9:26
  2. LAK
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    10:59
  3. ARI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    12:40
  4. ARI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    12:53

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    3-2
    13:47

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:20ARIIlya Lyubushkin · Interferencedrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

2nd

  • 9:05LAKMichael Amadio · Trippingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 10:25ARIMichael Chaput · Hookingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min
  • 11:32LAKTobias Bjornfot · High stickingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 15:49ARIChristian Dvorak · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 7:25ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min
  • 16:52LAKDrew Doughty · Interferencedrawn by Johan Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalARI goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Johan Larsson, 2nd 12:53 — ARI 67% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.16A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.16A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.15A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.14D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.14A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.10T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.09D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.08M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.08D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.07A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.07G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.05J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Lizotte · Missed · xG 0.04A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.04T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lizotte · On goal · xG 0.02A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bjornfot · On goal · xG 0.02C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.02O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01
LAK2 G · 3.1 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsLAK
2.33 G
All situations
2 G3.1
2.01 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI37%63%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsLAK
23
Shots on goal
42
38%
Faceoffs
63%
2/3
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
10
16
Blocked shots
6
2
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011010.09242—23:40
33A. GoligoskiD000020.11130—23:16
4N. HjalmarssonD000000.02020—19:50
82J. OesterleD011010.00220—19:31
23O. Ekman-LarssonD011010.03210—19:05
83C. GarlandR011020.31010—17:17
8N. SchmaltzC101040.39010916:57
18C. DvorakC000010.291124716:56
17T. PitlickC000010.11610016:53
81P. KesselR000010.02000—15:07
36C. FischerR000-120.04500—14:56
46I. LyubushkinD000000.00202—14:52
67L. CrouseL000-120.22200—14:27
9C. KellerR101020.19000—14:03
91D. CaggiulaL000+100.00000—13:13
22J. LarssonL101+120.330004212:56
16D. BrassardC000+110.06000010:45
26M. ChaputC000-100.0920210009:42
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Raanta(W)42402.9523.07+1.0760:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).