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Los Angeles Kings at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSAZ, KCOP-13·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2. The Coyotes scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 7:40 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals were close — LAK 1.7, ARI 1.9; shots on goal were LAK 26, ARI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 0.9 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jakob Chychrun (1 G), 3. Alex Iafallo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    J. Chychrun1 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Iafallo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK1142705326
ARIARI16113015234

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    17:10
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:45

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    0:53
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe (15), D. Brown (14)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    7:40
  3. LAK
    A. Iafallo(12)PPG
    wristxG 0.30win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    13:40

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:26LAKTobias Bjornfot · Interferencedrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 2:49LAKserved by A. Athanasiou · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:38ARIJohan Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

3rd

  • 4:18ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalLAK goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 2nd 7:40 — LAK 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.18P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.17C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.09J. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Chychrun · Goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.06J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hunt · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hayden · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.00I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.00C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI2 G · 1.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsARI
1.73 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK45%55%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsARI
26
Shots on goal
34
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
35
Hits
29
12
Blocked shots
1
5
Giveaways
7
1
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD011-130.14200—25:16
44M. AndersonD000-120.07800—21:40
19A. IafalloL101040.47110—19:40
26S. WalkerD000020.10500—18:24
6O. MaattaD000010.03020—18:19
9A. KempeR011000.062005018:17
11A. KopitarC112030.231006018:11
33T. BjornfotD000+200.00102—16:51
13G. VilardiC000010.101203116:26
3M. RoyD000+220.08210—16:20
23D. BrownR011030.23200—16:17
24L. AnderssonC000000.0001010015:49
12T. MooreL101+130.09300—15:03
22A. AthanasiouC000+100.0512010013:03
55Q. ByfieldR000+110.030004312:59
28J. Anderson-DolanC000010.011002212:10
48B. LemieuxL000000.00130—11:12
91C. GrundstromR000000.01400—10:43
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)19172.8951.11-0.8940:00
40C. Petersen151501.0000.83+0.8320:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).